Economy:
Existing home sales plunge in May, but Realtors think that was the bottom
Homebuilders see strongest May new home sales in over a decade, but they have a big problem (new homes sales were up 13% annually, but new homes starts and permits were down 18% and 10% annually)
In context the new home sales number was not so hot:
New One Family Houses Sold: United States -St. Louis Fed
Housing Starts: Total: New Privately Owned Housing Units Started- FRED | St. Louis Fed (big dive on right hand side)
Architecture billings downward trajectory moderates - AIA (reported at 32; any number below 50 indicates a decrease in billings)
Jobless claims dip to 1.48 million, but slow decline signals choppy economic recovery - MarketWatch
Existing home sales plunge in May, but Realtors think that was the bottom
Homebuilders see strongest May new home sales in over a decade, but they have a big problem (new homes sales were up 13% annually, but new homes starts and permits were down 18% and 10% annually)
In context the new home sales number was not so hot:
New One Family Houses Sold: United States -St. Louis Fed
Housing Starts: Total: New Privately Owned Housing Units Started- FRED | St. Louis Fed (big dive on right hand side)
Architecture billings downward trajectory moderates - AIA (reported at 32; any number below 50 indicates a decrease in billings)
Jobless claims dip to 1.48 million, but slow decline signals choppy economic recovery - MarketWatch
Banks have grown by $2 trillion in deposits since coronavirus first hit; see Fed's Money Stock and Debt Measures - H.6 Release - June 18, 2020
White House trade advisor Peter Navarro denies saying China trade deal is 'over' He did make that categorical statement in the context of his claims that China had lied to the U.S. about the coronavirus and had committed numerous other unsavory acts.
Martha MacCallum: “Given everything that’s happened and all the things you just listed, is that over?”
Peter Navarro: “It’s over.” Peter Navarro admits China trade deal is 'over' in Fox News interview - YouTube ( starts at 4:52)
Trump had stated last month that he was "very torn" over terminating the "Phase 1" deal. US-China trade: Trump 'torn' over phase one deal Politically it would be disadvantageous for Trump to terminate the trade deal before the election.
Martha MacCallum: “Given everything that’s happened and all the things you just listed, is that over?”
Peter Navarro: “It’s over.” Peter Navarro admits China trade deal is 'over' in Fox News interview - YouTube ( starts at 4:52)
Trump had stated last month that he was "very torn" over terminating the "Phase 1" deal. US-China trade: Trump 'torn' over phase one deal Politically it would be disadvantageous for Trump to terminate the trade deal before the election.
Navarro's unambiguous comment in the proper context was that Trump was going to terminate the Phase 1 trade deal. The comment was made after the market closed on 6/23/20. The initial reaction was a 400 point DJIA decline. If the Stock Jocks actually believed Navarro was correctly summarizing what Trump was about to do, the DJIA would have been down far more, probably by more than 2000 points. The Stock Jock's initial reaction was more like Navarro may be accurately stating U.S. policy but we seriously doubt it.
I suspect that Navarro had convinced the impulsive Trump to punish China by terminating the deal and then Kudlow, Mnuchin and others convinced Donald that was a bad idea a few months prior to the election.
U.S. hits highest single day of coronavirus cases at 45,500, breaking April record (6/24/20 article referring to reported infections on 6/23/20)
41% of businesses closed on Yelp have shut down for good during the coronavirus pandemic - MarketWatch The Stock Jocks are underestimating the long term impact of what has actually already happened in the U.S. economy IMO.
U.S. Coronavirus Cases Hit One-Day Record Sweeping Across 3 Largest States (6/26/20, referring to new cases last Thursday)
The Second Coronavirus Surge Is Here - The Atlantic This is a useful article explaining why the cases are surging.
STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 20 June | STR (Occupancy down 41.3% Y-O-Y; revenue per room declined 60.3%)
Trump administration urges Supreme Court to end Obamacare amid recession and pandemic
Most U.S. Travelers Will Be Barred From E.U. When Bloc Reopens - The New York Times
I suspect that Navarro had convinced the impulsive Trump to punish China by terminating the deal and then Kudlow, Mnuchin and others convinced Donald that was a bad idea a few months prior to the election.
U.S. hits highest single day of coronavirus cases at 45,500, breaking April record (6/24/20 article referring to reported infections on 6/23/20)
41% of businesses closed on Yelp have shut down for good during the coronavirus pandemic - MarketWatch The Stock Jocks are underestimating the long term impact of what has actually already happened in the U.S. economy IMO.
U.S. Coronavirus Cases Hit One-Day Record Sweeping Across 3 Largest States (6/26/20, referring to new cases last Thursday)
The Second Coronavirus Surge Is Here - The Atlantic This is a useful article explaining why the cases are surging.
STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 20 June | STR (Occupancy down 41.3% Y-O-Y; revenue per room declined 60.3%)
Trump administration urges Supreme Court to end Obamacare amid recession and pandemic
Most U.S. Travelers Will Be Barred From E.U. When Bloc Reopens - The New York Times
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Markets and Market Commentary:
The S & P 500 closed last week at 3,009.05, down 74.71 or 2.42% for the day. The close took this index below its 200 day SMA line using a one year Yahoo Finance chart. The SMA line was at 3,020.94. S&P 500 Chart The close on Friday 6/19/20 was at 3,097.74. The most recent intraday high was at 3,233.13 which was hit intraday on 6/8/20. S&P 500 Historical
The VIX closed last Friday at 34.73, up 7.79%.
Gold is continuing to show strength: GLD Chart
Award-winning forecaster says U.S. economy might not heal by next year, putting stocks at risk of correction - MarketWatch My best guess now is that GDP and SPX corporate profits will not return to 2019 levels prior to 2022.
‘Will the Fed spend trillion of dollars, every year, forever to support the market? asks billionaire Howard Marks - MarketWatch That is a good question. Another good question is how much longer can the U.S. government support the economy with $1+ trillion budget deficits with the current calendar year likely to be $4 trillion. This can not end well.
Stock-market investors are suddenly spooked by rapidly rising coronavirus cases in the U.S. Here’s why - MarketWatch
The stock market may be pricey, but it's nothing like the genuine market bubbles of the past But that conclusion depends on whether the Stocks Jocks being right about the Blue Sky scenario.
The S & P 500 closed last week at 3,009.05, down 74.71 or 2.42% for the day. The close took this index below its 200 day SMA line using a one year Yahoo Finance chart. The SMA line was at 3,020.94. S&P 500 Chart The close on Friday 6/19/20 was at 3,097.74. The most recent intraday high was at 3,233.13 which was hit intraday on 6/8/20. S&P 500 Historical
The VIX closed last Friday at 34.73, up 7.79%.
Gold is continuing to show strength: GLD Chart
Award-winning forecaster says U.S. economy might not heal by next year, putting stocks at risk of correction - MarketWatch My best guess now is that GDP and SPX corporate profits will not return to 2019 levels prior to 2022.
‘Will the Fed spend trillion of dollars, every year, forever to support the market? asks billionaire Howard Marks - MarketWatch That is a good question. Another good question is how much longer can the U.S. government support the economy with $1+ trillion budget deficits with the current calendar year likely to be $4 trillion. This can not end well.
Stock-market investors are suddenly spooked by rapidly rising coronavirus cases in the U.S. Here’s why - MarketWatch
The stock market may be pricey, but it's nothing like the genuine market bubbles of the past But that conclusion depends on whether the Stocks Jocks being right about the Blue Sky scenario.
There's nearly $5 trillion parked in money markets as many investors are still afraid of stocks
The ‘Fed story’ will win out over second wave and election fears, UBS says. It’s time for investors to get off the sidelines - MarketWatch I will stay on the sidelines for now. While I am buying selectively, the amounts being invested are more indicative of a sideline kind of posture.
‘La la land?’ The stock market is ‘insanely disconnected’ and due for a ‘reckoning,’ - MarketWatch That observation was made by Kevin Smith who is chief investment officer of Crescat Capital, a firm previously unknown to me. Crescat Capital | Value-Driven Performance
M1 and M2 increased by 33.5% and 23% respectively for the 12 month period ending in May, seasonally adjusted. The Fed - Money Stock and Debt Measures - H.6 Release - June 18, 2020
M2 Money Stock (M2) | FRED | St. Louis Fed
FED Balance Sheet Trends:
Federal Reserve Board - Recent balance sheet trends
FED Balance Sheet:
System Open Market Account Holdings - FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of NEW YORK
IMF: global economy to contract with coronavirus recovery slow (the new IMF estimate is for a 4.9% decline in world GDP, down from its April forecast of -3%)
M2 Money Stock (M2) | FRED | St. Louis Fed
FED Balance Sheet Trends:
Federal Reserve Board - Recent balance sheet trends
FED Balance Sheet:
System Open Market Account Holdings - FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of NEW YORK
IMF: global economy to contract with coronavirus recovery slow (the new IMF estimate is for a 4.9% decline in world GDP, down from its April forecast of -3%)
USD's demand as 'emergency dollar' could be waning, Deutsche Bank says
China suspends imports of poultry from Tyson plant over coronavirus concerns
GNC files for bankruptcy, with plans to close up to 1,200 stores - MarketWatch
Nike (NKE) reports Q4 2020 earnings (loss of $.51 per share vs. consensus of +7 cents, revenues declined by 38%)
Fed puts restrictions on bank dividends after test finds some banks could be stressed in pandemic
Consumer sentiment slips in late June as confidence in U.S. economic policies slumps to Trump-era low - MarketWatch
Facebook, Twitter boycotts push social-media ETFs to worst week since March - MarketWatch; Unilever pauses Facebook and Twitter advertising for rest of 2020 A growing list of companies are pulling ads from Facebook and Twitter. Those social media platforms are conduits for hate speech, election interference and false information.
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Trump:
“Everybody, soon or late, sits down at a banquet of consequences.” Robert Louis Stevenson Quotes (Author of Treasure Island)
U.S. sets a record for average daily coronavirus cases, rising in more than 30 states (6/26/20 article)
New U.S. coronavirus cases hit 45,242 for biggest one-day increase of pandemic - Reuters (6/27)
Doctor Don's Miracle Cure for Covid-19:
Coronavirus: NIH halts clinical trial of hydroxychloroquine after finding no benefit to patients (6/20/20);
U.S. halts test of Trump-touted hydroxychloroquine for COVID-19 patients
NIH halts clinical trial of hydroxychloroquine | National Institutes of Health (NIH)
Hydroxychloroquine no longer used at local hospitals to treat COVID-19 | Las Vegas Review-Journal
So when will Donald acknowledge that he was touting a drug that was potentially harmful and had no benefit? The answer is never.
Will the Fox News personalities Tucker Carlson, Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham apologize for recommending this potentially harmful drug to their listeners?
This is a summary of statements made by Fox News personalities:
1, Jesse Waters: Waters denounced the "cherry-picking snakes, liars and backstabbing hypocrites” who have prevented people from taking the drug. No one in the media has prevented anyone from taking the drug, of course, but that is irrelevant in TrumpWorld. Any doctor can prescribe it after the FDA gave emergency approval for off label use.
2. Tucker Carlson: Referring to media outlets that report factual information about this drug, Carlson had this to say: “It is probably the most shameful thing I, as someone who has done this for 20 years, has ever seen. It’s making a lot of us ashamed to work in the same profession as those people. So reckless and wrong in the middle of a pandemic, it really is, for real.”
3. Laura Ingraham: “After hearing all of the stories where hydroxychloroquine is credited with saving lives, it is amazing that the left and the medical establishment is still in total denial about the potential of these decades-old drugs.” If anyone recovers who takes the drug, that is proof in TrumpWorld that the drug caused the recovery.
Ingraham refers to scientific and medical evidence that contradicts her delusions as "drivel". Hydroxychloroquine truther Laura Ingraham urges Trump campaign to ignore "alarmist COVID drivel" | Salon.com (6/17/20 article); Fox's Laura Ingraham mocks 'The Medical Deep State' and 'science' - New York Daily News (6/16/20); Fox News host claims ‘no real scientific basis’ to social distancing. True or false? - HoustonChronicle.com She is incapable of seeing any difference between packing an enclosed arena with no social distancing and limited mask wearing and an outdoor protest where there was substantial mask wearing and social distancing.
4. Sean Hannity: The drug is showing success “in spite of what the mob and the media is telling you.”
These individuals need a red flashing banner at the bottom of a TV screen saying: "Warning: Listening to Me is Dangerous to Your Health".
Fox News Stars Trumpeted a Malaria Drug-The New York Times; From Fox News, a big dose of dumb on hydroxychloroquine - The Washington Post
New research explores how conservative media misinformation may have intensified coronavirus - The Washington Post
There never was any scientific reason to believe that the Duck's miracle drug was effective but that did not stop him and his talking heads at Fox "news" from touting it and continuing to do so even after evidence proved that it was potentially harmful to some people and had no benefit.
Ousted coronavirus whistleblower Dr. Rick Bright says Trump administration is 'on the warpath' against him Dr. Bright disagreed with Doctor Don's pumping of hydroxychloroquine, so he had to go.
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Donald's Mass COVID-19 Infection Event in Tulsa:
How to empty seat - YouTube
Inside the Cult of Trump, His Rallies Are Church and He Is the Gospel | Vanity Fair
Six members of Trump's campaign team test positive for COVID-19 Two more later tested positive. Two more Trump staffers test positive for coronavirus after Tulsa rally
Oklahoma reporter who attended Trump's Tulsa rally tests positive for coronavirus
President Trump's Tulsa Rally Highlights His Record of Racial Division
Top members of coronavirus task force advised against Trump's Tulsa rally The bottom line is Donald could care less whether people become infected at his rally, transmit the infection to others, and there are deaths associated with attendance. And, I doubt that the Trumpsters care either viewing it as their constitutional right to become infected and to infect others.
So is Donald really pro-life when he encourages his followers to avoid wearing masks and to ignore social distancing guidelines, which is what actually happened at his Tulsa's rally?
Tulsa Sets Coronavirus Case Record As Trump Rallygoers Dispute Health Risks
Oklahoma coronavirus: COVID-19 cases rise ahead of Trump Tulsa rally
Donald's campaign claimed that more than a million people signed up for tickets. Trump campaign touts 1 million ticket requests for Tulsa rally | Fox News
Since the BOX arena would hold about 19K, an outdoor arena was set up to handle up to an estimated 40K overflow crowd. Hardly anyone showed for the outside event which was canceled and a large number of empty seats were noticeable inside the area. Trump, Pence scrap planned outdoor speeches at Tulsa rally | TheHill
Tulsa fire department says just under 6,200 people attended Trump rally - Axios The Trump Campaign claimed there was over 12K. Who would you believe, a Trump campaign official or the Tulsa Fire Marshall?
There was no social distancing inside the area and most people were not wearing masks. I would estimate that less than 10% of attendees were wearing a mask Many republicans view mask wearing as an interference in their personal freedom to infect as many as people as possible. Freedom without responsibility is their motto.
Trump falsely blamed a small group of peaceful BLM protestors for the low attendance.
During the speech, Trump claimed that he ordered slower coronavirus testing. Donald: “When you do testing to that extent, you will find more cases. So I said to my people, ‘Slow the testing down, please.’”
In TrumpWorld, if you do not test, there would be no new infections. Trump’s Tulsa rally: He says he wanted to 'slow the testing down' on COVID-19 and other takeaways Several of the Duck's advisors including his Press Secretary and Peter Navarro claimed he was joking which is a common excuse now for outrageous Trump statements and claims.
When asked whether he was joking, Trump replied "I don't kid". ‘I don’t kid’: Trump says he wasn’t joking about slowing coronavirus testing - POLITICO Last Friday, he changed his tune claiming that he was being sarcastic.
Lawmakers protest as feds pull support from 4 Harris County COVID testing sites - HoustonChronicle.com
Coronavirus: Federal government to end funding some Covid-19 test sites
Donald also castigated protestors who wanted to remove statutes of Confederate, referring to that effort as a "desecration" and a demolishment of "our heritage". The Trumpsters cheered that a U.S. President wants praise traitors who fought against the United States in an effort to preserve slavery.
He also used a racial slur to refer to the virus.
The Duck also aired his usual grievances.
He rambled for 101 minutes including several minutes devoted to defending his feeble walk down that ramp at West Point.
With ‘kung flu,’ ‘thugs,’ and ‘our heritage,’ Trump leans on racial grievance as he reaches for a campaign reset
Don the Authoritarian threatened protestors who might show up for his rally:
The threat did include "anarchists", "looters", "agitators" and "lowlifes" in addition to "protestors". In TrumpWorld, "lowlifes" and "agitators" are the same as "protestors". There were no "looters". There were some reporters at the rally who are "scum" in need of having their head severed from their body with Donald being judge and jury. Bolton claims Trump said reporters 'should be executed,' requested DOJ seek jail time | Fox News
Fact check: Trump's Tulsa rally littered with familiar false claims - CNN
Trump 'furious' about 'underwhelming' crowd at Tulsa rally
PolitiFact | Trump wrongly claims Biden wants to prosecute churchgoers and does not want to prosecute church burners
PolitiFact | The Stump Speech Analyzer: Donald Trump in Tulsa
PolitiFact | Donald Trump’s Pants on Fire claim that nobody had heard of Juneteenth
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Donald's Mass Infection Rally in Arizona-6/23/20:
Donald held another indoor rally in Arizona that is currently experiencing a surge in Covid-19 infections. President Donald Trump visits Arizona as COVID-19 cases rise; ADHS - Data Dashboard (2,196 new cases the day before this event) The state also experienced a surge in hospitalizations last Sunday and Monday. Arizona COVID-19 Hospitalizations Soar Ahead of Phoenix Trump Student Rally
How Arizona ‘lost control of the epidemic’
The rally was at the Dream City Church and was attended by about 3K mostly young students. The rally was sponsored by Students for Trump, a subgroup of Turning Point Action.
Mask wearing was optional and few attendees wore one.
I would estimate that about 1 in 30 attendees were wearing a mask.
Social distancing was not practiced anywhere in the packed, enclosed space.
Hundreds line up hours ahead of President Trump's rally in north Phoenix | Arizona News | azfamily.com
Two church officials, senior pastor, Luke Barnett and Chief Operations Officer Brendon Zastrow, claimed hat they had an air purification system that would kill 99.9 % of Covid-19. Can air filtration stop coronavirus at a Trump rally in Phoenix? Experts doubt it. ("It's the kind of claim that has little basis in reality, experts say. Both the ionization technology on which the system is based, as well as the way it works, are of limited effectiveness."); Phoenix Megachurch Hosting Trump Rally Says It Has a Special Virus-Killing Air System | Phoenix New Times; Ahead of Trump Visit, Church Makes Unproven Claim of Virus-Killing Technology - The New York Times
Supreme Court Ruling on DACA-Temporary Setback For Donald and the GOP in their Efforts to Deport the Dreamers:
Donald and the republican party want to deport the DACA children to their country of origin.
Notwithstanding the temporary setback handed to them by the Supreme Court, the GOP will move quickly to accomplish their overriding goal to repeal DACA and to deport those youngsters who entered the U.S. illegally long ago as children.
Supreme Court blocks Trump’s bid to end DACA, a win for undocumented ‘Dreamers’
While the Supreme Court decision gives the DACA children a temporary reprieve from deportation by the republicans, Donald framed the issue as a major campaign issue that placed fundamental constitutional rights at risk:
What did a 5 to 4 Supreme Court decision actually do that so upset Donald? Supreme Court DACA decision a win for Trump | TheHill Trump can end DACA provided he follows the technical legal way to do so. Trump finally came to that conclusion and expressed it as the Tulsa rally: Trump Says 'We Won on DACA' at Tulsa Rally After Supreme Court Ruling
The main part of the republican base wants to send these kids back to their countries of origin, even though they are completely Americanized and have been for years. The problem for republican politicians is that a significant minority of their members actually want to provide a path to citizenship for the Dreamers.
The message that you will hear from republican politicians will claim that DACA needs to be ended, giving some lame excuse, but something will done for the Dreamers as part of a comprehensive immigration policy that funds the wall along the border, reduces legal immigration, establishes a new merit based system; eliminates most chained migration, and provides some temporary protection to the Dreamers. The Trump Immigration Plan: A Lopsided Proposal; What You Need to Know About DACA and the ‘Dreamers’ - The Washington Post In short, the republicans are holding the DACA children as hostage to secure Democrat concessions that are anathema to them.
DACA ‘unlawful’ despite Supreme Court ruling, acting Homeland Security chief says - POLITICO
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Bolton's Book:
A better book to read, which should be required reading for all republicans, is this one: Donald Trump and His Assault on Truth: The President's Falsehoods, Misleading Claims and Flat-Out Lies eBook: Staff, The Washington Post Fact Checker: Kindle Store
The republican district court judge Royce Lambert refused to enjoin the release of Bolton's book.
In Lambert's opinion, the book had already been distributed too widely for the government to show irreparable harm, a necessary showing for a temporary injunction.
Judge Lambert then inappropriately IMO made preliminary findings on the merits that indicated hostility to Bolton and a too eager willingness to accept the government's contention that the book contained classified information. Opinion.pdf
The reasons for my opinion are (1) the book was cleared by the official responsible for scrubbing any classified information out of it, (2) Trump political appointees then claimed that this official made the incorrect decision and (3) the reasons why Trump political appointees would disagree with the unbiased professional who clear the book are obvious given the contents of the book. .
The recent political appointee and Trump sycophant Robert C. O'Brien ordered another review and ordered the Trump loyalist, Michael T. Ellis, a former aide to Devin Nunes, to conduct the inquiry. There was no question what the result of that review would be. Both O'Brien and Ellis are lawyers and 100% pure Trumpsters. Michael Ellis (Trump administration official) - Wikipedia, see also 2 White House Officials Helped Give Nunes Intelligence Reports-The New York Times (one of those officials was Michael T. Ellis)
An impartial and non-partisan judge would have been highly suspicious of this new claim of classified material originating from Trump's political loyalists with no national security credentials. Royce Lambert is not impartial IMO.
And it is important to realize that his opinion on the merits was superfluous once he decided that the government could not prove irreparable harm. His opinion indicated that he had made up his mind on the merits without hearing all of the evidence and having the parties conduct discovery and detailed cross examination of witnesses.
Bolton's book will not change any minds. It is hardly news to those opposed to Demagogue Don that he is fond of dictators; impulsive and erratic; confirms his ignorance on a daily basis; is unwilling to learn; and was mocked by those closest to him.
Trump Approves of China Isolating Uighur Muslims in Gulags:
Perhaps the most revealing and new piece of information is Trump's willingness to approve China's gulags for the Uighur Muslims.
Bolton: “According to our interpreter, Trump said that Xi should go ahead with building the camps, which Trump thought was exactly the right thing to do.”
Bolton alleges Trump encouraged Xi to continue with Uighur detainment camps - Axios
We knew Trump didn’t care for human rights in China. But this is a new low. - The Washington Post
Ukraine-Of Course There was a Quid Pro Quo:
Bolton: "According to our interpreter, Trump said that Xi should go ahead with building the camps, which Trump thought was exactly the right thing to do."
Bolton also confirmed that Trump expressly linked Ukraine's military aid to an investigation of Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton.
Bolton: On 8/20/20 , Trump "said he wasn’t in favor of sending them anything until all the Russia-investigation materials related to (Hillary) Clinton and Biden had been turned over.”
This linkage was already known and Bolton's statement is additive to what was already disclosed in the summary transcript and from multiple witnesses with knowledge who testified under oath. The fact that Trumpsters never accepted the obvious is just something that has to be expected.
Trump Asks for China to Help his Reelection Efforts:
Another new revelation was that Trump requested China's help in his reelection.
Bolton: "In exchange (for concessions on tariff rates), Trump asked merely for some increases in Chinese farm-product purchases, to help with the crucial farm-state vote If that could be agreed, all the U.S. tariffs would be reduced. It was breathtaking."
Trump Wanted to Interfere in SDNY Investigation of a Turkish Bank at the Request of the Turkish President Recep Tayyip ErdoÄŸan:
Bolton: "And the president said to ErdoÄŸan at one point, 'Look, those prosecutors in New York are Obama people. Wait till I get my people in, and then we'll take care of this.’”
Bolton says Trump proposal to intervene in SDNY investigation of Turkish bank felt 'like obstruction of justice to me' | TheHill
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Trump is inciting violence against BLM protestors:
'It got ugly': What happened when Black Lives Matter protests came to small town Ohio Trumpsters turned up at a small, peaceful BLM rally with automatic weapons and clubs. "Some yelled at the protesters to leave, blocked their way when they were marching and pushed and shoved them to the ground. A man with a Confederate flag covering his face ripped up one of the protesters’ signs while the crowd cheered."
Bethel Black Lives Matter: 10 incidents under investigation
As protests spread to small-town America, militia groups respond with armed intimidation and online threats - The Washington Post
A driver hit Black Lives Matter protesters. It was a neighboring town’s mayor, protesters say.
In Klamath Falls, Oregon, victory declared over antifa, which never showed up
Wilmington, N.C., police officers fired for racist talk, suggesting killing black people - The Washington Post
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Trump Firing of SNDY Federal Prosecutor Geoffrey Berman:
Before his ouster, U.S. attorney refused to join Justice Dept. rebuke of New York mayor - The Washington Post Trump wanted Berman to criticize the New York's mayor coronavirus restrictions.
Berman relents, leaves post as US attorney for the Southern District of New York after taking stand against firing
Among offices for Federal prosecutors, the Southern District of New York is the most important. A number of pending matters relating to Trump or Trump associates are being handled in that office.
I discussed this firing and its possible political overtones in my last post and in a recent comment.
Barr initially claimed in an official DOJ document that Berman had voluntarily left his position, which was false. Attorney General William P. Barr on the Nomination of Jay Clayton to Serve as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York | OPA | Department of Justice
Barr had no authority to fire Berman, who was appointed by the federal court judges in that district. Under statute, Berman arguably could only be relieved once his replacement was confirmed by the Senate or a replacement was approved by the judges who appointed Berman. 28 U.S. Code § 546 - Vacancies
After Berman replied that he had not resigned, further claiming that Barr's effort to replace him with a NJ federal prosecutor was illegal, which it was, Barr then sent another letter stating that Trump had fired Berman.
Donald later claimed he had nothing to do with it, which is just another piece of evidence supporting the obvious conclusion that he is a pure pathological liar with no credibility. Trump: 'I'm not involved' in SDNY's Geoffrey Berman firing - Business Insider
Nonetheless, Berman decided to resign since Barr allowed his second in command Audrey Strauss, a career prosecutor, to replace him rather than Barr's hand picked guy. It would be a bold move now for Trump and Barr to replace Ms. Strauss with a Trump political appointee.
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Trump: "But Mexico is in fact, you will soon find out, paying for the wall, okay? … The wall is ultimately and very nicely being paid for by Mexico." PolitiFact | Fact-checking Donald Trump's campaign rally in Wildwood, New Jersey on 1/28/20
“Everybody, soon or late, sits down at a banquet of consequences.” Robert Louis Stevenson Quotes (Author of Treasure Island)
6/25/20 |
6/26/20 |
New U.S. coronavirus cases hit 45,242 for biggest one-day increase of pandemic - Reuters (6/27)
Doctor Don's Miracle Cure for Covid-19:
Coronavirus: NIH halts clinical trial of hydroxychloroquine after finding no benefit to patients (6/20/20);
U.S. halts test of Trump-touted hydroxychloroquine for COVID-19 patients
NIH halts clinical trial of hydroxychloroquine | National Institutes of Health (NIH)
Hydroxychloroquine no longer used at local hospitals to treat COVID-19 | Las Vegas Review-Journal
So when will Donald acknowledge that he was touting a drug that was potentially harmful and had no benefit? The answer is never.
Will the Fox News personalities Tucker Carlson, Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham apologize for recommending this potentially harmful drug to their listeners?
This is a summary of statements made by Fox News personalities:
1, Jesse Waters: Waters denounced the "cherry-picking snakes, liars and backstabbing hypocrites” who have prevented people from taking the drug. No one in the media has prevented anyone from taking the drug, of course, but that is irrelevant in TrumpWorld. Any doctor can prescribe it after the FDA gave emergency approval for off label use.
2. Tucker Carlson: Referring to media outlets that report factual information about this drug, Carlson had this to say: “It is probably the most shameful thing I, as someone who has done this for 20 years, has ever seen. It’s making a lot of us ashamed to work in the same profession as those people. So reckless and wrong in the middle of a pandemic, it really is, for real.”
3. Laura Ingraham: “After hearing all of the stories where hydroxychloroquine is credited with saving lives, it is amazing that the left and the medical establishment is still in total denial about the potential of these decades-old drugs.” If anyone recovers who takes the drug, that is proof in TrumpWorld that the drug caused the recovery.
Ingraham refers to scientific and medical evidence that contradicts her delusions as "drivel". Hydroxychloroquine truther Laura Ingraham urges Trump campaign to ignore "alarmist COVID drivel" | Salon.com (6/17/20 article); Fox's Laura Ingraham mocks 'The Medical Deep State' and 'science' - New York Daily News (6/16/20); Fox News host claims ‘no real scientific basis’ to social distancing. True or false? - HoustonChronicle.com She is incapable of seeing any difference between packing an enclosed arena with no social distancing and limited mask wearing and an outdoor protest where there was substantial mask wearing and social distancing.
4. Sean Hannity: The drug is showing success “in spite of what the mob and the media is telling you.”
These individuals need a red flashing banner at the bottom of a TV screen saying: "Warning: Listening to Me is Dangerous to Your Health".
Fox News Stars Trumpeted a Malaria Drug-The New York Times; From Fox News, a big dose of dumb on hydroxychloroquine - The Washington Post
New research explores how conservative media misinformation may have intensified coronavirus - The Washington Post
There never was any scientific reason to believe that the Duck's miracle drug was effective but that did not stop him and his talking heads at Fox "news" from touting it and continuing to do so even after evidence proved that it was potentially harmful to some people and had no benefit.
Ousted coronavirus whistleblower Dr. Rick Bright says Trump administration is 'on the warpath' against him Dr. Bright disagreed with Doctor Don's pumping of hydroxychloroquine, so he had to go.
++
Donald's Mass COVID-19 Infection Event in Tulsa:
How to empty seat - YouTube
Inside the Cult of Trump, His Rallies Are Church and He Is the Gospel | Vanity Fair
Six members of Trump's campaign team test positive for COVID-19 Two more later tested positive. Two more Trump staffers test positive for coronavirus after Tulsa rally
Oklahoma reporter who attended Trump's Tulsa rally tests positive for coronavirus
President Trump's Tulsa Rally Highlights His Record of Racial Division
Top members of coronavirus task force advised against Trump's Tulsa rally The bottom line is Donald could care less whether people become infected at his rally, transmit the infection to others, and there are deaths associated with attendance. And, I doubt that the Trumpsters care either viewing it as their constitutional right to become infected and to infect others.
So is Donald really pro-life when he encourages his followers to avoid wearing masks and to ignore social distancing guidelines, which is what actually happened at his Tulsa's rally?
Tulsa Sets Coronavirus Case Record As Trump Rallygoers Dispute Health Risks
Oklahoma coronavirus: COVID-19 cases rise ahead of Trump Tulsa rally
Donald's campaign claimed that more than a million people signed up for tickets. Trump campaign touts 1 million ticket requests for Tulsa rally | Fox News
Pascale is Trump's Campaign Manager |
Tulsa fire department says just under 6,200 people attended Trump rally - Axios The Trump Campaign claimed there was over 12K. Who would you believe, a Trump campaign official or the Tulsa Fire Marshall?
There was no social distancing inside the area and most people were not wearing masks. I would estimate that less than 10% of attendees were wearing a mask Many republicans view mask wearing as an interference in their personal freedom to infect as many as people as possible. Freedom without responsibility is their motto.
Trump falsely blamed a small group of peaceful BLM protestors for the low attendance.
During the speech, Trump claimed that he ordered slower coronavirus testing. Donald: “When you do testing to that extent, you will find more cases. So I said to my people, ‘Slow the testing down, please.’”
In TrumpWorld, if you do not test, there would be no new infections. Trump’s Tulsa rally: He says he wanted to 'slow the testing down' on COVID-19 and other takeaways Several of the Duck's advisors including his Press Secretary and Peter Navarro claimed he was joking which is a common excuse now for outrageous Trump statements and claims.
When asked whether he was joking, Trump replied "I don't kid". ‘I don’t kid’: Trump says he wasn’t joking about slowing coronavirus testing - POLITICO Last Friday, he changed his tune claiming that he was being sarcastic.
Lawmakers protest as feds pull support from 4 Harris County COVID testing sites - HoustonChronicle.com
Coronavirus: Federal government to end funding some Covid-19 test sites
Donald also castigated protestors who wanted to remove statutes of Confederate, referring to that effort as a "desecration" and a demolishment of "our heritage". The Trumpsters cheered that a U.S. President wants praise traitors who fought against the United States in an effort to preserve slavery.
He also used a racial slur to refer to the virus.
The Duck also aired his usual grievances.
He rambled for 101 minutes including several minutes devoted to defending his feeble walk down that ramp at West Point.
With ‘kung flu,’ ‘thugs,’ and ‘our heritage,’ Trump leans on racial grievance as he reaches for a campaign reset
Don the Authoritarian threatened protestors who might show up for his rally:
The threat did include "anarchists", "looters", "agitators" and "lowlifes" in addition to "protestors". In TrumpWorld, "lowlifes" and "agitators" are the same as "protestors". There were no "looters". There were some reporters at the rally who are "scum" in need of having their head severed from their body with Donald being judge and jury. Bolton claims Trump said reporters 'should be executed,' requested DOJ seek jail time | Fox News
Fact check: Trump's Tulsa rally littered with familiar false claims - CNN
Trump 'furious' about 'underwhelming' crowd at Tulsa rally
PolitiFact | Trump wrongly claims Biden wants to prosecute churchgoers and does not want to prosecute church burners
PolitiFact | The Stump Speech Analyzer: Donald Trump in Tulsa
PolitiFact | Donald Trump’s Pants on Fire claim that nobody had heard of Juneteenth
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Donald's Mass Infection Rally in Arizona-6/23/20:
Donald held another indoor rally in Arizona that is currently experiencing a surge in Covid-19 infections. President Donald Trump visits Arizona as COVID-19 cases rise; ADHS - Data Dashboard (2,196 new cases the day before this event) The state also experienced a surge in hospitalizations last Sunday and Monday. Arizona COVID-19 Hospitalizations Soar Ahead of Phoenix Trump Student Rally
How Arizona ‘lost control of the epidemic’
The rally was at the Dream City Church and was attended by about 3K mostly young students. The rally was sponsored by Students for Trump, a subgroup of Turning Point Action.
Mask wearing was optional and few attendees wore one.
I would estimate that about 1 in 30 attendees were wearing a mask.
Social distancing was not practiced anywhere in the packed, enclosed space.
Hundreds line up hours ahead of President Trump's rally in north Phoenix | Arizona News | azfamily.com
Two church officials, senior pastor, Luke Barnett and Chief Operations Officer Brendon Zastrow, claimed hat they had an air purification system that would kill 99.9 % of Covid-19. Can air filtration stop coronavirus at a Trump rally in Phoenix? Experts doubt it. ("It's the kind of claim that has little basis in reality, experts say. Both the ionization technology on which the system is based, as well as the way it works, are of limited effectiveness."); Phoenix Megachurch Hosting Trump Rally Says It Has a Special Virus-Killing Air System | Phoenix New Times; Ahead of Trump Visit, Church Makes Unproven Claim of Virus-Killing Technology - The New York Times
To attend the event students had to first sign this release:
"By clicking register below, you are acknowledging that an inherent risk of exposure to COVID-19 exists in any public place where people are present.
By attending this convention, you and any guest voluntarily assume all risks related to exposure to COVID-19 and agree not to hold Turning Point Action, their affiliates, Dream City Church, employees, agents, contractors, or volunteers liable for any illness or injury."
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Supreme Court Ruling on DACA-Temporary Setback For Donald and the GOP in their Efforts to Deport the Dreamers:
Donald and the republican party want to deport the DACA children to their country of origin.
Notwithstanding the temporary setback handed to them by the Supreme Court, the GOP will move quickly to accomplish their overriding goal to repeal DACA and to deport those youngsters who entered the U.S. illegally long ago as children.
Supreme Court blocks Trump’s bid to end DACA, a win for undocumented ‘Dreamers’
While the Supreme Court decision gives the DACA children a temporary reprieve from deportation by the republicans, Donald framed the issue as a major campaign issue that placed fundamental constitutional rights at risk:
What did a 5 to 4 Supreme Court decision actually do that so upset Donald? Supreme Court DACA decision a win for Trump | TheHill Trump can end DACA provided he follows the technical legal way to do so. Trump finally came to that conclusion and expressed it as the Tulsa rally: Trump Says 'We Won on DACA' at Tulsa Rally After Supreme Court Ruling
The main part of the republican base wants to send these kids back to their countries of origin, even though they are completely Americanized and have been for years. The problem for republican politicians is that a significant minority of their members actually want to provide a path to citizenship for the Dreamers.
The message that you will hear from republican politicians will claim that DACA needs to be ended, giving some lame excuse, but something will done for the Dreamers as part of a comprehensive immigration policy that funds the wall along the border, reduces legal immigration, establishes a new merit based system; eliminates most chained migration, and provides some temporary protection to the Dreamers. The Trump Immigration Plan: A Lopsided Proposal; What You Need to Know About DACA and the ‘Dreamers’ - The Washington Post In short, the republicans are holding the DACA children as hostage to secure Democrat concessions that are anathema to them.
DACA ‘unlawful’ despite Supreme Court ruling, acting Homeland Security chief says - POLITICO
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Bolton's Book:
A better book to read, which should be required reading for all republicans, is this one: Donald Trump and His Assault on Truth: The President's Falsehoods, Misleading Claims and Flat-Out Lies eBook: Staff, The Washington Post Fact Checker: Kindle Store
The republican district court judge Royce Lambert refused to enjoin the release of Bolton's book.
In Lambert's opinion, the book had already been distributed too widely for the government to show irreparable harm, a necessary showing for a temporary injunction.
Judge Lambert then inappropriately IMO made preliminary findings on the merits that indicated hostility to Bolton and a too eager willingness to accept the government's contention that the book contained classified information. Opinion.pdf
The reasons for my opinion are (1) the book was cleared by the official responsible for scrubbing any classified information out of it, (2) Trump political appointees then claimed that this official made the incorrect decision and (3) the reasons why Trump political appointees would disagree with the unbiased professional who clear the book are obvious given the contents of the book. .
The recent political appointee and Trump sycophant Robert C. O'Brien ordered another review and ordered the Trump loyalist, Michael T. Ellis, a former aide to Devin Nunes, to conduct the inquiry. There was no question what the result of that review would be. Both O'Brien and Ellis are lawyers and 100% pure Trumpsters. Michael Ellis (Trump administration official) - Wikipedia, see also 2 White House Officials Helped Give Nunes Intelligence Reports-The New York Times (one of those officials was Michael T. Ellis)
An impartial and non-partisan judge would have been highly suspicious of this new claim of classified material originating from Trump's political loyalists with no national security credentials. Royce Lambert is not impartial IMO.
And it is important to realize that his opinion on the merits was superfluous once he decided that the government could not prove irreparable harm. His opinion indicated that he had made up his mind on the merits without hearing all of the evidence and having the parties conduct discovery and detailed cross examination of witnesses.
Bolton's book will not change any minds. It is hardly news to those opposed to Demagogue Don that he is fond of dictators; impulsive and erratic; confirms his ignorance on a daily basis; is unwilling to learn; and was mocked by those closest to him.
Trump Approves of China Isolating Uighur Muslims in Gulags:
Perhaps the most revealing and new piece of information is Trump's willingness to approve China's gulags for the Uighur Muslims.
Bolton: “According to our interpreter, Trump said that Xi should go ahead with building the camps, which Trump thought was exactly the right thing to do.”
Bolton alleges Trump encouraged Xi to continue with Uighur detainment camps - Axios
We knew Trump didn’t care for human rights in China. But this is a new low. - The Washington Post
Ukraine-Of Course There was a Quid Pro Quo:
Bolton: "According to our interpreter, Trump said that Xi should go ahead with building the camps, which Trump thought was exactly the right thing to do."
Bolton also confirmed that Trump expressly linked Ukraine's military aid to an investigation of Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton.
Bolton: On 8/20/20 , Trump "said he wasn’t in favor of sending them anything until all the Russia-investigation materials related to (Hillary) Clinton and Biden had been turned over.”
This linkage was already known and Bolton's statement is additive to what was already disclosed in the summary transcript and from multiple witnesses with knowledge who testified under oath. The fact that Trumpsters never accepted the obvious is just something that has to be expected.
Trump Asks for China to Help his Reelection Efforts:
Another new revelation was that Trump requested China's help in his reelection.
Bolton: "In exchange (for concessions on tariff rates), Trump asked merely for some increases in Chinese farm-product purchases, to help with the crucial farm-state vote If that could be agreed, all the U.S. tariffs would be reduced. It was breathtaking."
Trump Wanted to Interfere in SDNY Investigation of a Turkish Bank at the Request of the Turkish President Recep Tayyip ErdoÄŸan:
Bolton: "And the president said to ErdoÄŸan at one point, 'Look, those prosecutors in New York are Obama people. Wait till I get my people in, and then we'll take care of this.’”
Bolton says Trump proposal to intervene in SDNY investigation of Turkish bank felt 'like obstruction of justice to me' | TheHill
++
Trump is inciting violence against BLM protestors:
'It got ugly': What happened when Black Lives Matter protests came to small town Ohio Trumpsters turned up at a small, peaceful BLM rally with automatic weapons and clubs. "Some yelled at the protesters to leave, blocked their way when they were marching and pushed and shoved them to the ground. A man with a Confederate flag covering his face ripped up one of the protesters’ signs while the crowd cheered."
Bethel Black Lives Matter: 10 incidents under investigation
As protests spread to small-town America, militia groups respond with armed intimidation and online threats - The Washington Post
A driver hit Black Lives Matter protesters. It was a neighboring town’s mayor, protesters say.
In Klamath Falls, Oregon, victory declared over antifa, which never showed up
Wilmington, N.C., police officers fired for racist talk, suggesting killing black people - The Washington Post
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Trump Firing of SNDY Federal Prosecutor Geoffrey Berman:
Before his ouster, U.S. attorney refused to join Justice Dept. rebuke of New York mayor - The Washington Post Trump wanted Berman to criticize the New York's mayor coronavirus restrictions.
Berman relents, leaves post as US attorney for the Southern District of New York after taking stand against firing
Among offices for Federal prosecutors, the Southern District of New York is the most important. A number of pending matters relating to Trump or Trump associates are being handled in that office.
I discussed this firing and its possible political overtones in my last post and in a recent comment.
Barr initially claimed in an official DOJ document that Berman had voluntarily left his position, which was false. Attorney General William P. Barr on the Nomination of Jay Clayton to Serve as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York | OPA | Department of Justice
Barr had no authority to fire Berman, who was appointed by the federal court judges in that district. Under statute, Berman arguably could only be relieved once his replacement was confirmed by the Senate or a replacement was approved by the judges who appointed Berman. 28 U.S. Code § 546 - Vacancies
After Berman replied that he had not resigned, further claiming that Barr's effort to replace him with a NJ federal prosecutor was illegal, which it was, Barr then sent another letter stating that Trump had fired Berman.
Donald later claimed he had nothing to do with it, which is just another piece of evidence supporting the obvious conclusion that he is a pure pathological liar with no credibility. Trump: 'I'm not involved' in SDNY's Geoffrey Berman firing - Business Insider
Nonetheless, Berman decided to resign since Barr allowed his second in command Audrey Strauss, a career prosecutor, to replace him rather than Barr's hand picked guy. It would be a bold move now for Trump and Barr to replace Ms. Strauss with a Trump political appointee.
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Trump: "But Mexico is in fact, you will soon find out, paying for the wall, okay? … The wall is ultimately and very nicely being paid for by Mexico." PolitiFact | Fact-checking Donald Trump's campaign rally in Wildwood, New Jersey on 1/28/20
Trump says Obama didn't reform policing-but he did. Then the president ditched it.
Trump Wrong on Obama-Biden Actions on Policing- FactCheck.org Donald just makes stuff up, realizing that the Trumpsters do not know the facts and will accept his false information and narratives without question or challenge.
Pence's False Claims About Trump's Handling of Coronavirus- FactCheck.org
Trump Wrong on Obama-Biden Actions on Policing- FactCheck.org Donald just makes stuff up, realizing that the Trumpsters do not know the facts and will accept his false information and narratives without question or challenge.
Pence's False Claims About Trump's Handling of Coronavirus- FactCheck.org
Michael Pack, a colleague of Steve Bannon, installs Trump loyalists to leadership posts, memo says; New directors at federal media agency have ties to anti-LGBT groups Trump is turning the Voice of America into Trump TV. He apparently thinks that will improve his image overseas. It will not. How the world sees the U.S. and Trump in 10 charts | Pew Research Center He does have significant favorability ratings among the far right in Europe including the neo-Nazis.
The Voice of America Will Sound Like Trump - The Atlantic This is worth reading. The lessons taught by authoritarians over the centuries are being implemented by the GOP.
INSIDE TRUMPS' BITTER BATTLE Nephew's ailing baby caught in the middle - New York Daily News Donald, his brother Robert and his sister Maryanne terminated medical coverage for their nephew's child William who was born with cerebral palsy. William was the grandson of Fred Trump Jr., Donald's brother, who died of alcoholism. Maryanne Trump Barry is a lawyer who was formerly a judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit. Family of Donald Trump - Wikipedia
Trump mocked his father's Alzheimer's, niece Mary to say in new book - Business Insider.
PolitiFact | Trump shares manipulated toddler video targeting CNN
Ken Burns: Confederate statues celebrate a false narrative - YouTube
The Michael Flynn court ruling by Judge Neomi Rao is astonishingly bad - Vox The decision by Judge Rao, appointed by Trump, is a political one rather than based on sound legal reasoning. Rao was joined in her opinion by another republican judge Karen Henderson.
Trump administration asks Supreme Court to strike down Obamacare
Mary Trump once stood up to her uncle Donald. Now her book describes a ‘nightmare’ of family dysfunction. - The Washington Post
Russia offered Afghan militants bounties to kill U.S. troops: report - MarketWatch That article is based on a NYT article published yesterday. Russia Secretly Offered Afghan Militants Bounties to Kill U.S. Troops, Intelligence Says - The New York Times Trump was briefed on this conclusion in March but has not responded. The NYT is worth an online subscription (around $12+ per month as I recall).
The Voice of America Will Sound Like Trump - The Atlantic This is worth reading. The lessons taught by authoritarians over the centuries are being implemented by the GOP.
INSIDE TRUMPS' BITTER BATTLE Nephew's ailing baby caught in the middle - New York Daily News Donald, his brother Robert and his sister Maryanne terminated medical coverage for their nephew's child William who was born with cerebral palsy. William was the grandson of Fred Trump Jr., Donald's brother, who died of alcoholism. Maryanne Trump Barry is a lawyer who was formerly a judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit. Family of Donald Trump - Wikipedia
Trump mocked his father's Alzheimer's, niece Mary to say in new book - Business Insider.
PolitiFact | Trump shares manipulated toddler video targeting CNN
Ken Burns: Confederate statues celebrate a false narrative - YouTube
The Michael Flynn court ruling by Judge Neomi Rao is astonishingly bad - Vox The decision by Judge Rao, appointed by Trump, is a political one rather than based on sound legal reasoning. Rao was joined in her opinion by another republican judge Karen Henderson.
Trump administration asks Supreme Court to strike down Obamacare
Mary Trump once stood up to her uncle Donald. Now her book describes a ‘nightmare’ of family dysfunction. - The Washington Post
Russia offered Afghan militants bounties to kill U.S. troops: report - MarketWatch That article is based on a NYT article published yesterday. Russia Secretly Offered Afghan Militants Bounties to Kill U.S. Troops, Intelligence Says - The New York Times Trump was briefed on this conclusion in March but has not responded. The NYT is worth an online subscription (around $12+ per month as I recall).
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Covid 19 Update:
as of 6/26/20 |
See, Remarks by President Trump at a Turning Point Action Address to Young Americans | The White House (The transcript of Donald' speech consists of pure demagoguery, worthless drivel, false claims, with Donald generally turning everything upside down. It is sad that anyone would risk their life and the lives of others to listen this crap)
Fact check: As pandemic situation worsens, Pence paints a deceptively rosy picture
N.Y., N.J. and Conn. to Begin Coronavirus Travel Quarantine for Hot Spot States
Family shaken after 18 relatives test positive for COVID-19 after birthday party
Study: Asymptomatic Cases Of COVID-19 Might Have Temporary Lung Damage-NPR
Expert: Coronavirus spread unlikely to slow in summer or fall - Axios The expert is Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota. Osterholm stated that the first wave has not slowed down. The better description is not to describe the pandemic in terms of waves but a forest fire that consumes whatever wood is in its path. Osterholm: Forget waves, Covid-19 pandemic is a 'forest fire' - Minneapolis / St. Paul Business Journal
Bars, Strip Clubs and Churches: U.S. Virus Outbreaks Enter Unwieldy Phase
Coronavirus antibodies may last only 2 to 3 months after infection, study suggests
U.S. reports his number of daily coronavirus cases since May 1 (6/21/20)
Study suggests most Covid-19 cases went undetected - CNN (estimates that 80% of Covid-19 cases were undetected in March)
Republican sheriffs are refusing to enforce mask wearing policies. The Lewis County Sheriff in Washington, Robert Sansa, told a crowd "Don't be a sheep" by wearing a mask. 'Don’t be a sheep.' A southwest Washington sheriff’s response to governor’s mask order | NW News Network The only known cure for refusals to wear masks is a brain transplant, and it is unlikely that those who refuse to wear a mask in public will consent to that procedure.
The republican congressman Mark Green of Tennessee, who is the representative from my district, is leading the charge against wearing masks on Capital Hill. Citing 'irrational fears' of killer pandemic, Republicans fight face masks in Congress Green said he could “cite many other professionals” who advise against wearing protective face coverings, but declined to name one.
Trump Approval Hits New Low, He Trails Biden In Matchup: Poll : NPR Trump's strong disapproval rating is historic: "49% of voters "strongly disapprove" of the job Trump is doing. That kind of intensity of disapproval is a record never before seen for this president or any past one":
+++++++
All trades are commission free except as otherwise noted.
In Items 1 and 2 below, I discuss buying ordinary shares of two Canadian companies that are priced in USDs and traded on the dark U.S. Grey Market.
Symbols ending in "F" denote a foreign stock's ordinary shares rather than an ADR.
Many brokers do not display bid and ask quotes in this dark market. The investor has to take the current price on a foreign exchange and then convert the foreign currency price into USDs before placing a limit order. Shares are thinly traded and some brokers may tack on additional fees and commissions to the trade.
I will only buy Canadian stocks traded in this market using Schwab. Why? Schwab's quote box will show the Canadian price already converted into USDs and this broker will allow me to trade these securities commission free. Some other brokers will charge as much as $50 even though their commission rate is zero for other U.S. exchange traded securities.
In Items 1 and 2 below, I discuss buying ordinary shares of two Canadian companies that are priced in USDs and traded on the dark U.S. Grey Market.
Symbols ending in "F" denote a foreign stock's ordinary shares rather than an ADR.
Many brokers do not display bid and ask quotes in this dark market. The investor has to take the current price on a foreign exchange and then convert the foreign currency price into USDs before placing a limit order. Shares are thinly traded and some brokers may tack on additional fees and commissions to the trade.
I will only buy Canadian stocks traded in this market using Schwab. Why? Schwab's quote box will show the Canadian price already converted into USDs and this broker will allow me to trade these securities commission free. Some other brokers will charge as much as $50 even though their commission rate is zero for other U.S. exchange traded securities.
1. Added 100 NWHUF at US$6.83:
Website: NorthWest Healthcare Properties- A Canadian REIT
Closing Price 6/26/20: NWHUF US$7.75 -$0.07 -0.86%
Northwest is the largest private owner of healthcare facilities in Canada, consisting of 175 buildings with approximately 4 million square feet. Properties & Leasing in Canada
This company also owns healthcare related properties in Australia, Brazil, Germany, Netherlands and New Zealand. The largest concentration outside of Canada is in Australia.
Properties & Leasing in Australia and New Zealand
Properties & Leasing in Germany
Properties & Leasing in the Netherlands
Properties & Leasing in Brazil
Property Map
I view this REIT as a potential acquisition candidate for a larger U.S. healthcare REIT that wishes to expand internationally.
Current Position: 1,000 units consisting of 400 NWHUF and 600 NWH.UN.CA
Last Discussion: Item # 3.A. Added 50 NWHUF at US$8.3; 50 at US$8.5; 50 at US$6.75 and 50 at US$5.57 (4/4/20 Post)
Dividends: Monthly at C$.06667 per unit (C$.8 annually)
Last Ex Distribution Date: 5/28/20 (shortly after this purchase)
Next Ex Distribution Date: Monday 6/29/20
NorthWest Healthcare Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Announces June 2020 Distribution
Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/20):
Strategic Asset Sales:
Last Sell Discussions: Item # 1. A. Sold 1000 at C$10.68 (/7/31/17)(profit after CAD to USD conversion = US$606.31); Item # 1.B. Sold 100 NWHUF at US$8.79 (8/21/17 Post)
Next Ex Distribution Date: Monday 6/29/20
NorthWest Healthcare Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Announces June 2020 Distribution
Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/20):
Strategic Asset Sales:
Last Sell Discussions: Item # 1. A. Sold 1000 at C$10.68 (/7/31/17)(profit after CAD to USD conversion = US$606.31); Item # 1.B. Sold 100 NWHUF at US$8.79 (8/21/17 Post)
2. Bought 100 TRSWF at US$9.89:
Quote: TransAlta Renewables Inc. (TRSWF)
Website: TransAlta Renewables
Closing Price 6/26/20: TRSWF: US$10.00 -$0.20 -1.96%
TRSWF is the USD priced shares that are traded in the U.S. Grey Market.
Website: TransAlta Renewables
Closing Price 6/26/20: TRSWF: US$10.00 -$0.20 -1.96%
TRSWF is the USD priced shares that are traded in the U.S. Grey Market.
The company owns wind, solar, hydro and gas generating facilities. Facilities in Operation/Development | TransAlta Renewables
Last TRSWF Elimination: Item # 3. B. Sold 100 TRSWF at US$10.36 (5/5/19 Post) (profit snapshot = US$75.74)-Item # 2.B. Bought 100 TRSWF at US$9.55-Used Commission Schwab Free Trade (6/18/18 Post)
I also currently own 100 shares priced in CADs and traded in Toronto: Item # 1 Bought Back 100 RNW:CA at C$11.08 (4/11/20 Post)
Dividends: Monthly at C$.07833 per share (C$.94 annually)
TransAlta Renewables Declares Dividends
Dividend Information | TransAlta Renewables
Last Ex Dividend Date: 6/12/20 (owned as of )
Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/20): TransAlta Renewables Reports First Quarter 2020 Results
Item # 1 Sold 100 RNW:CA at C$17.92(3/14/20 Post)(profit snapshot = C$511)-Item # 2 Bought 100 RNW:CA at C$12.79 (9/14/19 Post);
Item # 3. B. Sold 150 RNW:CA at C$13.97 (profit snapshot = C$163.5)- Item # 2.A. Bought 100 RNW:CA at C$12.91 (6/18/18 Post), Item #2.A. Bought 50 RNW:C at C$12.45 (7/12/18 Post)
Realized to Date Profit Totals:
+ US$75.74
+C$674.5
+C$674.5
3. Bought 100 BXMX at $11:
Quote: BXMX | Nuveen S&P 500 Buy-Write Income Fund Overview-A CEF
Closing Price 6/26/20: BXMX $10.75 -$0.11 -1.01%
Sponsor's website: BXMX - Nuveen S&P 500 Buy-Write Income Fund
This fund seeks "an attractive total return with less volatility than the S & P 500 Index". The fund sells index call options "covering approximately 100% of the Fund's equity portfolio value." (emphasis added)
Nuveen S&P 500 Buy-Write Income Fund (shareholder report for the period ending 12/31/19) A list of holdings starts at page 27. As of 12/31/19, the cost of the fund's investment was $600.477+M with a value of $1.422+B (page 34)
Data Date of 5/21/20 Trade:
Closing Net Asset Value Per Share: $12.22
Closing Market Price: $10.98
Discount: -10.31%
Sourced from BXMX-CEF Connect
Last Quarterly Dividend: $.23225 ($.93 annually)
The dividend is substantially supported by ROC. Understanding Return of Capital
Last Ex Dividend: 6/12/20 (owned as of)
4. Small Ball:
A. Started FDN-Bought 1 at $166; 1 at $163.3:
Quote: First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index ETF Overview | MarketWatch
Closing Price 6/26/20: FDN $167.62 -$3.43 -2.01%
Sponsor's Website: First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund (FDN)
Expense Ratio: .52%
I put 1 or 2 shares in 4 accounts for potential participation in wave buying programs when the price craters again.
Maximum Position This Account: 20 shares
Maximum Position All Accounts: 50 shares
Purchase Restriction: Each subsequent purchase must be at the lowest price in the chain.
Positions:
One Year Chart:
B. Restarted ONB-Bought 10 at $12.71:
A. Started FDN-Bought 1 at $166; 1 at $163.3:
Quote: First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index ETF Overview | MarketWatch
Closing Price 6/26/20: FDN $167.62 -$3.43 -2.01%
Sponsor's Website: First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund (FDN)
Expense Ratio: .52%
I put 1 or 2 shares in 4 accounts for potential participation in wave buying programs when the price craters again.
Maximum Position This Account: 20 shares
Maximum Position All Accounts: 50 shares
Purchase Restriction: Each subsequent purchase must be at the lowest price in the chain.
Positions:
One Year Chart:
Bungee Jumper |
Quote: Old National Bancorp (ONB)
Closing Price 6/26/20: ONB $12.86 $-0.59 -4.39%
I am extremely cautious on regional bank stock purchases. I am buying these stocks near 10-11 year lows. There are good reasons why the prices have tanked so deep. The two main reasons are an accelerations in non-performing loans due the Covid-19 recession and net interest margin suppression likely to continue for an extended period. ONB, for example, traded at over $13 in April 2010.
Banks were hit harder than the market indexes last Friday based on adverse news relating to the pandemic.
SEC Filings
5 Year Financials 2019 Annual Report
ONB | Old National Bancorp Analyst Estimates
Investment Category: Regional Bank Basket Strategy
Deposit Share as of 12/31/19:
Last Elimination: Item # 4.A. Sold 10 ONB at $19.66 (7/29/18)(profit snapshot= $29.19)-Item # 1.B. Bought 10 ONB at $16.75 (2/15/18 Post) So I bought back the 10 shares at $12.71.
Dividend: Quarterly at $.14 ($.56 annually)
Old National Bancorp announces quarterly cash dividend
Last Ex Dividend: 5/29/20 (owned as of)
Dividend Yield at $12.71: 4.41%
Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/20): Old National reports 1st quarter earnings, announces $1.2 million commitment to COVID-19 relief efforts and support programs for clients
The results were unfavorably impacted due to Covid-19 related charges.
Comparative Data Charts at St. Louis Federal Reserve:
Purchase Restriction: Each subsequent purchase, other than through dividend reinvestment, must be at the lowest price in the chain.
Other Round-Trips:
Item 2.A. Eliminated ONB-Sold 50 Shares at $18.55 (2/27/17 Post)(profit snapshot=$312.97)
Item # 2. Averaged Down: Bought 50 ONB at $12.25-Update For Regional Bank Basket As Of 1/19/16 - South Gent | Seeking Alpha
Item # 2. Bought 50 ONB at $13.1: Update For Regional Bank Basket Strategy As Of 1/6/16 - South Gent | Seeking Alpha
Item # 5. Bought in Roth IRA: 50 ONB at $11.38:Update For Regional Bank Basket Strategy As Of 1/28/16 - South Gent | Seeking Alpha
Other Round-Trip Trades:
ONB Trading Profits to Date: $786.29
Closing Price 6/26/20: ONB $12.86 $-0.59 -4.39%
I am extremely cautious on regional bank stock purchases. I am buying these stocks near 10-11 year lows. There are good reasons why the prices have tanked so deep. The two main reasons are an accelerations in non-performing loans due the Covid-19 recession and net interest margin suppression likely to continue for an extended period. ONB, for example, traded at over $13 in April 2010.
Banks were hit harder than the market indexes last Friday based on adverse news relating to the pandemic.
SEC Filings
5 Year Financials 2019 Annual Report
ONB | Old National Bancorp Analyst Estimates
Investment Category: Regional Bank Basket Strategy
Deposit Share as of 12/31/19:
Last Elimination: Item # 4.A. Sold 10 ONB at $19.66 (7/29/18)(profit snapshot= $29.19)-Item # 1.B. Bought 10 ONB at $16.75 (2/15/18 Post) So I bought back the 10 shares at $12.71.
Dividend: Quarterly at $.14 ($.56 annually)
Old National Bancorp announces quarterly cash dividend
Last Ex Dividend: 5/29/20 (owned as of)
Dividend Yield at $12.71: 4.41%
Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/20): Old National reports 1st quarter earnings, announces $1.2 million commitment to COVID-19 relief efforts and support programs for clients
The results were unfavorably impacted due to Covid-19 related charges.
Comparative Data Charts at St. Louis Federal Reserve:
Net Interest Margin for all U.S. Banks (abbreviated to "NIM")
Return on Average Equity for all U.S. Banks (abbreviated to "ROE")
Return on Average Assets for all U.S. Banks (abbreviated to "ROA")
Nonperforming Loans (past due 90+ days plus nonaccrual) to Total Loans for all U.S. Banks (abbreviated to "NPL Ratio")
Maximum Position: 100 SharesPurchase Restriction: Each subsequent purchase, other than through dividend reinvestment, must be at the lowest price in the chain.
Other Round-Trips:
Item 2.A. Eliminated ONB-Sold 50 Shares at $18.55 (2/27/17 Post)(profit snapshot=$312.97)
Item # 2. Averaged Down: Bought 50 ONB at $12.25-Update For Regional Bank Basket As Of 1/19/16 - South Gent | Seeking Alpha
Item # 2. Bought 50 ONB at $13.1: Update For Regional Bank Basket Strategy As Of 1/6/16 - South Gent | Seeking Alpha
Item # 5. Bought in Roth IRA: 50 ONB at $11.38:Update For Regional Bank Basket Strategy As Of 1/28/16 - South Gent | Seeking Alpha
Item # 1 Sold 100 ONB at $13 (8/22/12 Post)(snapshot of profit=$99.07)-Item # 4 Bought 100 ONB at $11.85 (5/29/2012 Post)
Item # 1 Sold 50 ONB at $14.12 (7/6/13 Post)(Profit snapshot=$95.13)-Item # 4 Bought Back 50 ONB at $11.9 (5/6/13 Post)Other Round-Trip Trades:
ONB Trading Profits to Date: $786.29
C. Started PDM-Bought 10 at $14.5:
"Piedmont Office Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: PDM) is an owner, manager, developer, redeveloper, and operator of high-quality, Class A office properties located primarily in select sub-markets within seven major Eastern U.S. office markets. Its geographically-diversified, over $5 billion portfolio is currently comprised of approximately 18 million square feet. The Company is a fully-integrated, self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT) with local management offices in each of its major markets and is investment-grade rated by S&P Global Ratings (BBB) and Moody’s (Baa2)." The 7 markets are Atlanta, Boston, Orlando, Washington, D.C., Dallas, and Minneapolis Markets - Piedmont Office Realty Trust
Quote: Piedmont Office Realty Trust Inc. Cl A (PDM)
Closing Price 6/26/20: PDM $16.06 -$0.25 -1.53%
Investment Category: Equity REIT Common and Preferred Stock Basket Strategy
Website: Home - Piedmont Office Realty Trust
SEC Filings
5 Year Financial Metrics:
Page 28
Prior Trades: None
Dividend: Quarterly at $.21 per share ($.84 annually)
Dividend History | Piedmont Office Realty Trust, Inc.
The dividend has been stuck at $.21 per share since it was raised from $.2 effective for the 2014 4th quarter payment. It would not be reasonable to predict meaningful dividend growth.
Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/20):
"Achieved Core Funds From Operations ("Core FFO") of $0.47 per diluted share for the quarter ended March 31, 2020 as compared to $0.45 for the quarter ended March 31, 2019;
Reported an approximately 5.0% and 15.4% roll up in cash and accrual rents, respectively, on leases executed during the quarter for space vacant one year or less;
Reported a 2.2% and 4.2% increase in the current quarter's Same Store NOI-Cash Basis and Same Store NOI-Accrual Basis, respectively, as compared to the quarter ended March 31, 2019;
Closing Price 6/26/20: PDM $16.06 -$0.25 -1.53%
Investment Category: Equity REIT Common and Preferred Stock Basket Strategy
Website: Home - Piedmont Office Realty Trust
SEC Filings
5 Year Financial Metrics:
Page 28
Prior Trades: None
Dividend: Quarterly at $.21 per share ($.84 annually)
Dividend History | Piedmont Office Realty Trust, Inc.
The dividend has been stuck at $.21 per share since it was raised from $.2 effective for the 2014 4th quarter payment. It would not be reasonable to predict meaningful dividend growth.
Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/20):
"Achieved Core Funds From Operations ("Core FFO") of $0.47 per diluted share for the quarter ended March 31, 2020 as compared to $0.45 for the quarter ended March 31, 2019;
Reported an approximately 5.0% and 15.4% roll up in cash and accrual rents, respectively, on leases executed during the quarter for space vacant one year or less;
Reported a 2.2% and 4.2% increase in the current quarter's Same Store NOI-Cash Basis and Same Store NOI-Accrual Basis, respectively, as compared to the quarter ended March 31, 2019;
Entered into a binding contract to sell 1901 Market Street in Philadelphia, PA for $360 million"
D. Restarted WSBC-Bought 5 at $19.8; 5 at $18.8:
D. Restarted WSBC-Bought 5 at $19.8; 5 at $18.8:
"WesBanco's banking subsidiary, WesBanco Bank, Inc., operates 236 financial centers in the states of Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. Additionally, WesBanco operates an insurance agency, WesBanco Insurance Services, Inc., and a full service broker/dealer, WesBanco Securities, Inc."
"At December 31, 2019, Wesbanco operated 236 banking offices in West Virginia, Ohio, western Pennsylvania, Kentucky, southern Indiana and Maryland, of which 166 were owned and 70 were leased. Wesbanco also operated six loan production offices leased in West Virginia, Ohio, western Pennsylvania and Maryland. These leases expire at various dates through February 2050 and generally include options to renew. The Bank also owns several regional headquarters buildings in various markets, most of which also house a banking office and/or certain back office functions."
"The main office of Wesbanco is located at 1 Bank Plaza, Wheeling, West Virginia, in a building owned by the Bank. . . At various building locations, Wesbanco rents or makes available commercial office space to unrelated businesses. Rental income totaled $1.1 million, $1.1 million and $1.3 million in 2019, 2018 and 2017, respectively."
WSBC | WesBanco Inc. Analyst Estimates
Investment Category: Regional Bank Basket Strategy
SBC SEC Filings
5 Year Financials:
2019 Annual Report at page 23
SEC Filed May 2020 Investor Presentation
Dividend: Quarterly at $.32 per share ($1.28 annually)
WesBanco, Inc. Common Stock (WSBC) Dividend History | Nasdaq There is some dividend growth since WSBC slashed the dividend from $.28 to $.14 per share in 2009.
Average Cost: $19.3
Dividend Yield at $19.3 = 6.63%
Last Ex Dividend Date: 6/11/20 (5 shares before and 5 after)
Last Elimination: Item # 3 Sold 50 WSBC at $20.01 (2/11/11 Post)- Item # 5 Bought 50 WSBC at $13.3 (1/16/2010 Post) The realized gain was $315.6:
Those are my only trades prior to buying this 5 share lot.
Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/20): SEC Filed Press Release
In addition to Covid-19 related hits to net income and other financial metrics, the bank incurred about 6 cents per share in merger related charges related to its acquisition of in "Old Line Bancshares, Inc. (“OLBK”), a bank holding company headquartered in Bowie, MD with approximately $3.0 billion in assets, excluding goodwill."
"WesBanco adopted CECL on January 1, 2020, resulting in an initial adjustment to retained earnings of $26.6 million, and a corresponding increase in the allowance for credit losses specific to loans of $38.4 million, representing an allowance to total loans coverage ratio of 0.88%, or $90.8 million, upon adoption, compared to 0.51%, or $52.4 million, at December 31, 2019 under the incurred method. The allowance for credit losses specific to loans at March 31, 2020 was $114.3 million, or 1.10% of total loans. Excluded from the allowance for credit losses and related coverage ratio are fair market value adjustments on previously acquired loans representing 0.49% of total loans. The increase in the allowance and related provision for credit losses was related to the significant deterioration in the macroeconomic forecast in late-March, primarily driven by the negative forecasted economic impacts of COVID-19. The forecast, based upon nationally-recognized published economic data through March 31, 2020, is primarily driven by national unemployment and interest rate spreads."
Purchase Restriction: Each subsequent purchase, other than through dividend reinvestment, must be at the lowest price in the chain.
Maximum Position: 50 shares
E. Started ORCC-Bought 10 at $12.67; 1 at $12.59; 5 at $12.27; 5 at $11.95 :
Quote Owl Rock Capital Corp. (ORCC)- A BDC
Closing Price 6/26/20: ORCC $12.50 -$0.03 -0.24%
"On July 22, 2019, the Company closed its initial public offering ("IPO"), issuing 10 million shares of its common stock at a public offering price of $15.30 per share, and on August 2, 2019, the underwriters exercised their option to purchase an additional 1.5 million shares of common stock at a purchase price of $15.30 per share."
ORCC SEC Filings
10-Q for the Q/E 3/31/20 (investments listed starting at page 3)
Management: External
Average Cost Per share: $12.37 (25 shares)
Dividend: Quarterly at $.39 per share which includes a special dividend of $.08 per share
Next Ex Dividend Date: 6/29/20
Dividend Yield at Regular Dividend ($.31) = 10.02%
Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/20):
Results were negatively impacted by Covid-19 related unrealized losses on investments.
Portfolio Risk Ratings as of 3/31/20:
Owl Rock Capital Corp (ORCC) CEO Craig Packer on Q1 2020 Results - Earnings Call Transcript | Seeking Alpha
Purchase Restriction: Each subsequent purchase, other than through dividend reinvestment, must reduce my average cost per share.
Maximum Position: 100 shares
OWL Rock $1K Par Value Bonds (currently rated Baa3/BBB-):
5.25% SU Maturing on 4/15/24
4% SU Maturing on 3/30/25
3.75% SU Maturing on 7/22/2025
I will take a look at these bonds when and if they crash in price again as they did in March 2020.
F. Started CSWC-Bought 10 at $13.3:
Quote: Capital Southwest Corp. (CSWC) - A BDC
Closing Price 6/26/20: CSWC $13.36 +$0.14 +1.06%
Management: Internal
Website: Capital Southwest
CSWC SEC Filings
5 Year Financials Annual Report for the F/Y Ending 3/31/20
A list of investments and summary of terms starts at page 70 of the Annual Report linked above.
Dividend: Quarterly at $.51 per share ($2.04 annually), which includes a special dividend of $.10 per share.
Dividends - CSWC Capital Southwest
Last Ex Dividend Date: 6/12/20 (owned as of)
Next Ex Dividend Date: 9/30/20
2019 Dividend Tax Classifications:
Net Asset Value Per Share History: Took a Covid-19 related hit in the Q/E 3/31/20
3/31/20: $15.13
12/31/19 $16.74
3/31/19: $18.62
3/31/18: $19.08
3/31/17: $17.80
3/31/16: $17.34
It remains to be seen whether the loan value markdowns reflected in recent net asset value per share trends turn into permanent loan losses.
Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/20): Capital Southwest Announces Financial Results for Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year Ended March 31, 2020 and Announces Total Dividends of $0.51 Per Share for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2020
"During the year ended March 31, 2020, the Company repurchased 794,180 shares of common stock at an average price of $11.57 per share, including commissions paid. All of the share buyback activity for the fiscal year occurred during the quarter ended March 31, 2020."
As of 3/31/20, CSWC "had four debt investments on non-accrual status, which comprised of approximately 3.3% of our total investment portfolio's fair value and approximately 5.8% of its cost. As of March 31, 2019, we had one investment on non-accrual status, which represents approximately 1.6% of our total investment portfolio's fair value and approximately 1.9% of its cost."
Capital Southwest (CSWC) CEO Bowen Diehl on Q4 2020 Results - Earnings Call Transcript | Seeking Alpha
CSWC Exchange Traded Senior Unsecured Bond:
CSWCL | Capital Southwest Corp. 5.95% Notes 12/15/22 Overview; Final Prospectus Supplement I discussed buying 10 shares in this post. Item # 3.A. Bought 10 CSWCL at $22.25 (5/16/20 Post)
CSWC $1K Par Value: Prospectus 5.375% SU $1K Par Value Maturing in 2024; FINRA Bond Detail
ATM Program:
5. Exchange Traded Bonds:
A. Pared EMP-Sold 5 at $26.84:
Quote: Entergy Mississippi LLC 4.9% First Mortgage Bonds Overview
Closing Price 6/26/20: EMP $25.56 -$0.10 -0.39%
Profit Snapshot: +$15.44
New Average Cost Per Share = $21.4
Yield at Average Cost = 5.72%
Category: Exchange Traded Baby Bonds, subcategory of EXCHANGE TRADED BONDS
This 5 share lot was part of my highest cost lot bought at $23.76. Item # 2.B. Bought 10 EMP at $23.76, 5 at $21.07; 10 at $20.39 (4/25/20 Post)
Security: First Mortgage Bond
Prospectus
Par Value: $25
Maturity: 10/1/66 unless called early at issuer's option
Optional Redemption: At par value on or after 10/1/21 (asymmetric interest rate risk in favor of issuer)
Trades Flat
Next Ex Interest Date: 6/29/20
Prior EMP Round-Trips:
Item # 4.A. Eliminated EMP-Sold 70 at $24.87P (5/1/19 Post)(profit snapshot = $207.92)-Item # 1.B. Bought 70 EMP at $21.76 (1/2/19 Post);
Item # 2.B. Sold 30 EMP at $24.44 (2/13/19 Post)(profit snapshot = $7.04)-Item # 4.A. Bought 30 EMP at $24.04-Used Commission Free Trade (5/28/18 Post)
Items 2.A and B. Sold 50 EMP at $24.97 and 30 at $24.96 (9/21/17 Post)(profit snapshots $167.52)
I am not likely to own this potentially long duration bond for long when interest rates are moving up. Currently, I view it as more likely than not that the issuer will call this bond at par value on 10/1/21 and refinance at a lower coupon.
EMP Trading Profits to Date: $464.9
6. Intermediate Term Corporate Bond Basket Strategy:
A. Sold 1 Centerpoint Energy Houston Electric 2.4% General Mortgage Bond Maturing on 9/1/26:
FINRA Page: Bond Detail (prospectus linked)
Profit Snapshot : +$103.2
Item # 1.C. Bought 2 CNP Houston Electric General Mortgage Bonds Maturing on 9/1/2026 (5/17/17 Post)
Issuer: Wholly owned subsidiary of CenterPoint Energy Inc. (CNP)
Sold at 106.257 ($1 Commission)
YTM at 106.257 = 1.36%
At the current time, this bond is referred to as a "general mortgage" rather than a "first mortgage". A more appropriate description would be "second line". CNP Houston Electric has a superior lien bond that matures on 3/15/21. Bond Detail When that first lien bond matures, the CNP Houston Electric "general mortgage" bonds will become first lien.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor but simply an individual investor who has been managing my own money since I was a teenager. In this post, I am acting solely as a financial journalist focusing on my own investments. The information contained in this post is not intended to be a complete description or summary of all available data relevant to making an investment decision. Instead, I am merely expressing some of the reasons underlying the purchase or sell of securities. Nothing in this post is intended to constitute investment or legal advice or a recommendation to buy or to sell. All investors need to perform their own due diligence before making any financial decision which requires at a minimum reading original source material available at the SEC and elsewhere. A failure to perform due diligence only increases what I call "error creep". Stocks, Bonds & Politics: ERROR CREEP and the INVESTING PROCESS Each investor needs to assess a potential investment taking into account their personal risk tolerances, goals and situational risks. I can only make that kind of assessment for myself and family members.