Friday, July 2, 2021

AFIN, CIZN, CLX, EXG, FCX, FTS, GOODM, HTBK, KR, OFS, VKTX

Economy: 

The BLS reported earlier today that the economy added 850K jobs last month. The consensus forecast was at 706K. Employment Situation Summary The U-6 number fell to 9.8% from 10.2% in April. Table A-15. Alternative measures of labor underutilization Average hourly wages continued to surge, rising 10 cents per hour after increasing 33 cents per hour during the previous 2 months. 

ADP National Employment Report | June 2021 (+692K); Private payrolls rise 692,000 in June, easily topping expectations (555K consensus estimate)

El-Erian says the Fed is behind on inflation and risks another recession if it is forced to catch up

Delta: WHO urges fully vaccinated people to continue to wear masks as variant spreads

Lumber prices dive more than 40% in June, the biggest monthly drop on record (6/30/21)

U.S weekly jobless claims total hits new pandemic-era low of 364,000

+++

Markets and Market Commentary: 

Chip shortage causes Ford to cut vehicle production at several plants

10 Undervalued Wide-Moat Stocks | Morningstar My brain is not able to process those stocks as being undervalued. 

+++

Trump Organization and its CFO indicted by Manhattan grand jury; Trump Org. charged with 15-year "scheme to defraud" on taxes; Trump Organization charged with conspiracy, tax fraud and falsifying business records - POLITICO Trumpsters will view the criminal indictments as political retribution by NY liberals, an opinion that could only be reached without reviewing the factual "allegations" made in the indictment IMO. Read the Trump Organization Indictment - The New York Times; PDF version But, of course, facts, truth and evidence are so pas​sé and irrelevant in Trump's America.  

Total Scores/Overall Rankings | C-SPAN Survey on Presidents 2021 | C-SPAN.org The historians who were polled ranked Demagogue Don at #41, ahead of Andrew Johnson, James Buchanan and Franklin Pierce. While I agree with the rankings for Buchanan and Andrew Johnson from Tennessee, though a good argument could be made for Donald being in last place, I would at a minimum place Pierce ahead of Trump, moving Don the Authoritarian, the most powerful enemy of America's democracy in our history, down to # 42. Everyone needs to remember for as long as they live that 81% of Republicans believe Donald is honest and almost as many view him as a role model for their children. That needs to sink in deep and recalled multiple times each day. (Question 11: 81% of Republicans believe Trump is honest-National (US) Poll - June 18, 2020); Washington Post counts 30,573 false or misleading claims in four years by Trump | TheHill; Tracking all of President Trump’s false or misleading claims - Washington Post. And if Donald had made 100K false claims in four years or even 1 million, that would not change their opinion about his honesty. And that is fertile ground for a lying, authoritarian, sociopathic demagogue to exploit. 

Senator Ron Johnson (R-WIS) apparently wants more people to die from Covid vaccinations. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Under Fire for Holding Event on Adverse Reactions to COVID Vaccines; Ron Johnson promotes adverse reactions to COVID vaccines Why else would he be trying to scare people? Ron Johnson's anti-science crusade harms Wisconsin vaccination drive; Milwaukee newspaper blasts Ron Johnson as 'irresponsible representative of Wisconsin citizens' | TheHill

Republicans stripped power from 2 secretaries of state who fought Trump's fraud claims - The Washington Post  

The Arizona audit ties to the conspiracy theory film debuting this week 

Tucker Carlson Ratchets Up the “White Rage” on Fox News | Vanity Fair It is sad that anyone listens to this clown. 

General Milley, critical race theory and why the GOP's 'woke' military concerns miss the mark; Opinion | What Underlies the G.O.P. Commitment to Ignorance? - The New York Times (Paul Krugman opinion article refers to Tucker Carlson, who called General Milley, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, "stupid" and a "pig" for saying that those in uniform must be "open-minded and widely read".); Tucker Carlson calls America's top general a stupid pig - YouTube

NSA Puts Out a Statement Responding to Tucker Carlson: He ‘Has Never Been an Intelligence Target’; Trumpers go spy-crazy: Now Seb Gorka claims that the NSA spied on him and Steve Bannon in White House Facts, of course, do not matter to the Trumpsters or to the Fake News networks who routinely give them free reign to spew their reality creations. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) Wants Devin Nunes (R-CA) to Investigate Tucker Carlson's Claim 

Maybe McCarthy ought to investigate another Republican claim that Jewish space lasers were responsible for wildfires in California as well as the Republican claim that the CIA conspired with an Italian company to delete votes for Trump via satellite. GOP Congresswoman Blamed Wildfires on Jewish Space Laser McCarthy has identified the right guy in the House to investigate these kind of claims. 

The GOP's leader in the House, Kevin McCarthy, threatened to take away committee assignments for any Republican who participates in a bipartisan investigation of the 1/6 Trumpster attack on the nation's Capitol. House GOP leader Kevin McCarthy threatens Republicans over Jan. 6 Capitol riot investigation 

Fox News agrees to $1 million fine as part of a human rights investigation settlement

Mike Lindell Urges SCOTUS to 'Immediately' Reinstate Trump and 'Get Rid of Communists'; The MyPillow Guy-Jordan Klepper Fingers the Pulse-The Daily Show- YouTube (Instructive interview with a Trumpster); Mike Lindell’s ‘fraud’ allegations are even more ridiculous than you might think - The Washington Post; Mike Lindell has become the platonic ideal of a Trump supporter - The Washington Post 

Why Does the QAnon Conspiracy Still Thrive? | Time  There is no known cure for stupidity. 

Wisconsin G.O.P. Wrestles With Just How Much to Indulge Trump-The New York Times The Wisconsin GOP is totally controlled by, and subservient to Donald. 

Last week, Donald stated that his Wisconsin republican sycophants were not doing enough to overturn the 2020 presidential election results, and accused them of covering up "election corruption". 

The Republicans had been doing everything imaginable to cast doubt on the certified election results, but that was not enough in Trump's America. 

Trump's accusation only produced more servile wallowing from Wisconsin Republican leaders. Wisconsin's Republican State Senate President, Chris Kapenga, replied in what one commentator called "North Korean-style levels of Dear Leader obsequiousness." Opinion | Dear Leader: A Near-Perfect Letter From a Trump Sycophant, Annotated-The New York Times

ADM sold Sonny Perdue South Carolina land worth millions for $250,000 in 2017-Washington Post The land was sold to Purdue shortly before he became Don the Con's Secretary of Agriculture. ADM claims all was above board and kosher. 

'Trump Train' drivers that almost ran Biden bus off the road sued under the Ku Klux Klan Act of 1871; Law being used to target Trump, Giuliani, Capitol mob for insurrection- The Washington Post

QAnon Couple Who Appeared in HBO Documentary Arrested Over Capitol Attack

Man Hoping to Unseat Liz Cheney Says He Pretended to Support QAnon to Discredit Media

Covid breakthrough cases: CDC says more than 4,100 people have been hospitalized or died after being fully vaccinated

Congress Must Fix Electoral Count Act to Stop the Next Coup

Some fear Republicans’ post-Trump actions are eroding democracy | PBS NewsHour; Donald Trump rally in Ohio Saturday a return to campaign-style events; While undermining democracy, Trump falsely claims he's saving it

4 in 5 Trump voters are dissatisfied with how democracy is going-The Washington Post Their commitment to democracy and institutions necessary for a properly functioning democracy are either superficial or non-existent IMO. (One out of five stated that democracy was not the best form of government). 

Canada sets record temperature of almost 116 degrees amid heat wave, forecasts of even hotter weather - The Washington Post Shortly before they are burned to a crisp, there conceivably could be some Republicans who utter a faint, barely audible sound, so as not to be heard by the like minded, that maybe there was something to global warming after all. 

6.22.21-SUDC Report on Cyber Ninjas Arizona Ballot Review-FINAL.pdf The Republicans' brazenly bogus and partisan "audit" of Maricopa County 2020 presidential ballots is likely to continue for at least two more weeks. Months behind schedule, Arizona election auditors extend lease again This asinine endeavor has no purpose other than to undermine the democratic process.  

Behind Biden’s 2020 Victory | Pew Research Center

Vanderbilt AD says  Mississippi State fans yelled racial slurs at players’ parents - Sports Illustrated It was a lot worse when Perry Wallace started to play on Vanderbilt's basketball team in 1967. Perry Wallace, a pioneer who integrated SEC basketball, has died-Vanderbilt University 

++

1. Small Ball: 

A. Pared FTS-Sold 5 at $46.25: 

Quote: Fortis Inc.- USD Priced Shares

Fortis website

FTS SEC Filings-SEC forms for a foreign company 

Last Buy Discussions: Item # 1.K. Added to FTS-Bought 5 at $39.25; 5 at $38.71 (3/13/21 Post); Item # 3.A. Started FTS-Bought 5 at $40.25 (1/30/21 Post) 

2020 Annual Report (management discussion)

Profit Snapshot: +$30.88 

Dividend: Quarterly at  C$.505 per share, last raised from C$.445 per share effective for the 2020 4th quarter payment. Share Information


Last Ex-Dividend: 5/14/21

Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/21):  Fortis Inc. Reports Strong First Quarter 2021 Results

E.P.S. at C$.76, adjusted to C$.77, up from an adjusted C$.68 in the 2020 first quarter 

Revenues: C$2.539B, up from C$2.391 Y-O-Y

Supplemental Financials

B. Bought 50 AFIN at $9; 10 $8.3-Fidelity Taxable: 


This is a new name for me. 

Quote:  American Finance Trust, Inc. Cl A (AFIN) 

"American Finance Trust, Inc. (the “Company”), is an externally managed real estate investment trust for U.S. Federal income tax purposes (“REIT”) focusing on acquiring and managing a diversified portfolio of primarily service-oriented and traditional retail and distribution-related commercial real estate properties located primarily in the United States. The Company’s assets consist primarily of freestanding single-tenant properties that are net leased to “investment grade” and other creditworthy tenants and a portfolio of multi-tenant retail properties consisting primarily of power centers and lifestyle centers. The Company intends to focus its future acquisitions primarily on net leased, single-tenant service retail properties, defined as properties leased to tenants in the retail banking, restaurant, grocery, pharmacy, gas, convenience, fitness, and auto services sectors. As of March 31, 2021, the Company owned 925 properties, comprised of 19.7 million rentable square feet, which were 94.9% leased, including 892 single-tenant net leased commercial properties (850 of which are retail properties) and 33 multi-tenant retail properties."

Net Lease Definition

AFIN SEC Filings 

10-Q for the Q/E 3/31/21 (summary of debt, mostly mortgages on owned real estate, starts at page 18)

2020 Annual Report (risk factor summary starts at page 4 and ends on page 29)

Average Cost per share this account: $8.88 (60 shares)

Dividend: Quarterly at $.2125 per share ($.85 annually) AFIN was paying a monthly distribution prior to 2021. 

American Finance Trust Announces Common Stock Dividend for Third Quarter 2021

Dividend History 2019 to Date: 


Note the cut effective for the April 2020 distribution.  

Yield at $8.88 = 9.57%

Next Ex-Dividend Date: 7/9/21

Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/21): 

AFFO per share = $.24

Properties 94.6% leased 

8.7 year average remaining lease term 


Net Income to FFO to AFFO Calculations: 


The most important add-backs to FFO are share-based compensation and amortization of deferred financing costs. The largest subtractions from FFO are the phony revenues created by the "straight line" accounting convention (2 related items).

C. Bought 10 AFIN in Schwab Taxable at $8.4; 10 at $8.11:


See Item # 1.B. above

AC this account: $8.26

Yield at AC = 10.29%

D. Sold 9 KR at $39.01:



Profit Snapshot: $65.6 (6/18/21 sale only)


Dividend: Quarterly at $.18 ($.72 annually), last raised from $.16 effective for the 2020 third  quarter payment. 


At my sales price of $39.01, the yield is only 1.84%. 

Last Ex-Dividend: 5/13/21

Last Earnings Report (F/Q ending 5/22/21): 

GAAP E.P.S. = $.18

Non-GAAP E.P.S. = $1.19

Non-GAAP Consensus E.P.S. = $1 per Fidelity

Revenues: $41.298B

Identical Sales -4.1% compared to Covid related buying Y-O-Y

GAAP to Non-GAAP Computation: 


Far too many adjustments for my taste. 

2021 Guidance:


E. Eliminated KR-Sold 20 at $39.64: 

See Item 1.D. Above. 

Profit Snapshot: +$164.46

I no longer have a position in KR. My consider-to-buy range is currently between $28 and $32. 

Other Sell Discussions: Item # 1.A. Eliminated KR in Schwab Account-Sold 20 at $38.65 (2/27/21 Post)(profit snapshot = $137.43); Item # 2.F.  Sold 2 KR at $38.65 (5/23/21 Post)(profit snapshot = $12.82) 

KR Realized Gains to Date: $670.47 ($440.41 in prior trades)

I have been more active in Kroger's senior unsecured bonds, but all of them have matured and current yields are unattractive. 

F. Pared EXG in Schwab Taxable-Sold 10 at $10.31: 

Quote: Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Diversified Equity Income Fund Overview- A Buy-Write CEF

Sponsor's Website: Tax-Managed Global Diversified Equity Income Fund (EXG) | Eaton Vance

EXG SEC Filings

Portfolio as of 1/31/21-SEC Filing 

Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Diversified Equity Income Fund (Annual Report for the period ending 10/31/20)

Last Buy Discussions: Item # 2.B. Added 10 EXG at  (11/28/20 Post); Item # 1.P. Added 20 EXG at $7.4(10/24/20 Post); Item # 1.A. Bought 100 EXG at $7.42 (7/11/20 Post) 

Position Before Pare this account only: 

I have turned off dividend reinvestment. I eliminated with this pare all shares purchased with dividends.   

Profit Snapshot: +$24.68

AC per share this account after pare: $7.04 ($7.04) 

Snapshot at close on 6/14/21 after pare

Dividend: Monthly at $.0616 per share ($.74 rounded annually)

Substantial ROC Support. 

Return of Capital and CEFs - Fidelity; Return of Capital and CEFs: Part 3 - Fidelity

Yield at $7.04 = 10.5%

Data Date of 6/14/21 Trade: 

Net Asset Value Per Share: $10.37

Closing Market Price: $10.27

Discount: - .96%

Average 5 Year Discount: 4.04%

Sourced: EXG-CEF Connect

The largest EXG realized gain to date was in 2013: 

EXG 331 Shares +$414.31

G. Pared EXG in Fidelity Taxable-Sold All Fractional Shares Purchased with dividends at $10.28: 

1.188 Shares

See Item # 1.C. Above. 

Profit Snapshot: +$2.75 

The market price closed at a premium to net asset value per share.  

New AC per share: $6.9

Snapshot Intraday on 6/16/21 after pare

Yield at AC = 10.72%

H. Pared OFS in Fidelity Taxable-Sold Highest Cost 35 shares that could be sold profitably at $10.07: 

Quote: OFS Capital Corp - a BDC 

OFS SEC Filings

Website: Homepage - OFS Capital

Management: External

2020 Annual Report (risk factor summary starts at page 27 and ends on page 59)

Financial Highlights 2012-2021: 

Page 69

Last Buy Discussions: Item # 3.F. Bought 40 OFS with an Average Cost Per share of $4.18 (11/7/20 Post); Item # 2.L. Added 5 OFS at $3.97-Fidelity Taxable (11/28/20 Post); Item # 1.K. Added 3 OFS at $4.5 -Fidelity Taxable (8/8/20 Post); Item # 3.E. Added 5 OFS at $9.66; 5 at $9.2; 5 at $8.7; 5 at $6; 5 at $5.65; 2 at $3.7; 10 at $3.79 (4/11/20 Post)

Profit Snapshot: +$12.44


New AC per share this account: $6.78 (134+ shares): 


Some of those shares are in unrealized loss territory.  

Dividend: Quarterly at $.22 per share

Recent dividend history has been moving back up after being slashed from $.34 to $.17 effective for the 2020 second quarter payment. OFS Capital Corporation (OFS) Dividend History | Nasdaq

Yield at New AC of $6.78 = 12.98%

Net Asset Value Per Share History:  

03/31/21:  $11.96 10-Q at page 3 

12/21/20:  $11.85 10-K at page 69 

6/30/20:   $10.10
3/31/20:    $  9.71
12/31/19:   $12.46
9/30/19:    $12.74  
6/30/19:    $12.95   Page 2 10-Q
3/31/19      $13.04   10-Q
12/31/18    $13.10
6/30/18     $13.70
03/31/18   $13.67
12/31/17    $14.12
12/31/16    $14.82
12/31/15    $14.76
12/31/14    $14.24
12/31/13    $14.54

IPO Offering Price at $15 (November 2012) with proceeds after the underwriters' discount at $13.05 Final Prospectus Supplement

Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/21): SEC Filed Press Release 

NII per share = $.19

Adjusted NII per share = $.23

The 4 cent adjustment is due to "duplicate interest" expense relating to the timing of a new bond offering and the retirement of a higher coupon vintage bond. I would agree with that adjustment:

"Interest expense for the three months ended March 31, 2021, increased $0.3 million compared to the three months ended December 31, 2020, primarily due to us paying interest on both the newly issued $125.0 million of unsecured notes in February and March 2021 and the $98.5 million of redeemed unsecured notes. After the 30-day notice period expired, we used a portion of the proceeds from the $125.0 million of unsecured notes to redeem $98.5 million of previously issued unsecured notes."

No new loans on nonaccrual 

The weighted average yield on debt investments: 9.01%

Sell Discussions: Item # 2.M. Pared OFS in Vanguard Taxable-Sold 20 at $7.2 (12/25/20 Post); Item # 3.B. Sold 10 OFS at $12.04 (11/30/19 Post); Item # 4.B. Sold 60 shares at $12 (11/13/19 Post)

OFS Trading Profits to Date: $217.55 ($205.44 in prior trades) 

Most of the gain is unrealized with positions held in several accounts.  

Goal: Any total return before ROC adjustments to the tax cost basis in excess of the dividend payments. 

I. Added to CLX-Bought $50 at $173.38: 

Quote: Clorox Co.

Last Discussed: Item # 2.A. Multiple Small Dollar Purchases of CLX (3/27/21 Post) I view the current stock price as rich, so I will go slow. Purchases of cleaning products have probably now returned to pre-pandemic levels. UBS started CLX as a sell last month. 

Investment Category: Dividend Growth

CLX Analyst Estimates | MarketWatch

CLX SEC Filings

10-Q for the Q/E 3/31/21

Brands | The Clorox Company Owning the Hidden Valley salad dressing line makes no sense to me. 

Average Cost in this Account: 

Dividend: Quarterly at $1.16 ($4.64 annually), last raised from $1.11 effective for the next dividend payment. 

Yield at AC: 

Next Ex-Dividend: 7/27/21

Last Earnings Report (Fiscal 3rd Q/E 3/31/21): SEC Filed Press Release 

GAAP earnings per share reflect a pre-tax non-cash impairment charge of $329 million (or $2.11 diluted EPS). "The impairment charge is the result of an adjustment to the carrying values of goodwill, trademarks and other assets in the Better Health Vitamins, Minerals and Supplements (VMS) business".  

Adjusted E.P.S. = $1.62, a 14% Y-O-Y decrease  

Net Sales = $1.781B

2021 Outlook: 


J. Added to FCX-Bought 1 at $39.37; 1 at $37; 2 at $34.68:




Quote: Freeport-McMoRan Inc

FCX Analyst Estimates | MarketWatch

FCX SEC Filings

2020 Annual Report

Copper Prices - 45 Year Historical Chart-MacroTrends

Last Discussed: Item # 3.A. Bought 2 FCX at $41.33; 1 at $40.29 (6/12/21 Post) I noted in that post that I expected copper prices to come back down. 

I discussed the last earnings report in that post.   

Average Cost Per Share: $38.38 (7 shares)

Dividend: Quarterly at $.075 per share Freeport-McMoRan Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend on Common Stock

Yield: Viewed as immaterial 

K. Bought 10 CIZN at $18.99; 5 at $18.3; 5 at $18.14: 




CIZN is a bank holding company that owns The Citizens Bank of Philadelphia (the “Bank”).  The main office for CIZN and the Bank is located in Philadelphia, MS. The Bank has "28 additional branches in Neshoba, Newton, Leake, Lamar, Forrest, Scott, Attala, Lauderdale, Lafayette, Oktibbeha, Rankin, Harrison, Jackson, Winston, and Kemper counties, Mississippi."

Investment Categories: Primarily Bond Substitute/Regional Bank Basket Strategy (contains profit snapshots)

CIZN SEC Filings

10-Q for the Q/E 3/31/21 

10-K: 2020 Annual Report 

3 Year Financial History (page 7): 

Dividend: Quarterly at $.24 per share ($.96)

10 shares bought just before the ex-dividend date and 5 shares on that day. 

Yield at $18.99 = 5.06%

Last Ex-Dividend: 6/17/21  

Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/21):  SEC Filed Press Release and 10-Q

E.P.S. = $.34

Net Income: $1.897M

NIM = 2.32%, hurt by early prepayments on mortgages.

ROE = 6.45%

CIZN.O - Citizens Holding Company Key Metrics | Reuters

Capital Ratios: 

Page 44, 10-Q

Maximum Position: 50 shares

Purchase Restriction: Each subsequent purchase must be at the lowest price paid in the chain. 

Goal: Dividend harvest and a >2% profit on the shares. 

My overall judgment is that CIZN is not a quality regional bank, and that is established by its earnings history and price chart. I will preferably avoid holding the shares for more than a year. I have successfully traded the shares in the past, so I decided to try again. A successful trade is defined as collecting 4 dividends and then selling the shares at >$20. I am becoming less choosy with new dividend paying stock purchases given the inflow of bond redemption proceeds with nowhere to go into new bond purchases. 

CIZN Realized Gains to Date: $419.77

L. Added to VRTX-Bought $50 at $189.72; $20 at $188.21; $30 at $187.57:


Quote: Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

VRTX Analyst Estimates | MarketWatch

Pipeline | Vertex Pharmaceuticals

VRTX SEC Filings

Last Buy Discussions: Item # 3.L. Multiple Small Dollar Buys (6/12/21 Post; Item # 1.A. Bought 1 VRTX at $213.65; $50 at $211.32; $50 at $201.33 (4/30/21 Post)(discussed last earnings reports in that post, Vertex Reports First-Quarter 2021 Financial Results)

I have nothing further to add to those recent discussions.  

Average Cost per share in this account = $203.91 (3+ shares)

M. Bought 10 VKTX at $5.88: 



"Viking Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of novel, orally available, first-in-class or best-in-class therapies for the treatment of metabolic and endocrine disorders. . . .The company's clinical programs include VK2809, a novel, orally available, small molecule selective thyroid hormone receptor beta agonist for the treatment of lipid and metabolic disorders, which is currently being evaluated in a Phase 2b study for the treatment of biopsy-confirmed non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and fibrosis.  In a Phase 2 trial for the treatment of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and elevated LDL-C, patients who received VK2809 demonstrated statistically significant reductions in LDL-C and liver fat content compared with patients who received placebo.  The company is also developing VK0214, a novel, orally available, small molecule selective thyroid hormone receptor beta agonist for the potential treatment of X-linked adrenoleukodystrophy (X-ALD). VK0214 is currently being evaluated in a Phase 1 first-in-human clinical trial.  The company holds exclusive worldwide rights to a portfolio of five therapeutic programs, including those noted above, which are based on small molecules licensed from Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated."





My assumption is that Viking will most likely hit a dry hole with VK2809 which IMO is the assumption reflected in the stock price. Success in treating NASH would consequently be a major shock and would send the stock soaring.    

NASH therapies have been a graveyard where money goes to be buried. 

Investment Category: Average Blackjack Hand Bet, part of the Lottery Ticket Basket 

Recent News-June 2021: Viking Therapeutics Announces Results from Phase 1 Clinical Trial of Novel Oral Thyroid Receptor Beta Agonist VK0214 (6/17/21); Viking Therapeutics Announces Initiation of Phase 1b Clinical Trial of VK0214 in Patients with X-ALD (6/24/21) 

Viking Therapeutics' VK0214 Shows Encouraging Safety, Tolerability Profile In Healthy Volunteers | Benzinga

Last Financial Report (Q/E 3/31/21): Viking Therapeutics Reports First Quarter 2021 Financial Results and Provides Corporate Update

Cash and short term investments as of 3/31/21  =  $241.7M

Net loss of $14M or $.19 per share. 

N. Added to HTBK-Bought 10 at $11.1: 

Quote: Heritage Commerce Corp.

HTBK SEC Filings

I discussed this small bank holding company in my last post. Item # 1.L. Bought 10 HTBK at $11.52 (6/25/21 Post) 

New Average Cost per share = $11.31 (20 shares)

Snapshot Intraday 6/28/21 

I will probably continue averaging down in ten share lots until I hit 50 shares and then decide whether or not to take the position up to 100 shares.

Dividend: Quarterly at $.13 per share

Yield at $11.31 =  4.6%

O. CFG's Redemption of its 2.375% SU bonds: 

Issuer: Citizens Financial Group Inc. (CFG); CFG  Analyst Estimates | MarketWatch; CFG SEC Filings

The prospectus allowed the issuer to redeem within 1 month prior to maturity at par plus accrued and unpaid interest. Prospectus at p. S-2 

S & P Rating: BBB+

Interest on 4 bonds was paid semiannually at $47.5 or about $7.92 per month. The interest paid by the issuer upon redemption was for five months and totalled $39.58. 

Profit Snapshot: $44.24

I still only a few common shares. Dividend History-Citizens Bank (Quarterly at $.39 per share)

CFG has 2 non-cumulative equity preferred stocks that are currently priced over their $25 par values. Citizens Financial Group Inc. Series D Preferred Stock-Final Prospectus Supplement; Citizens Financial Group Inc.  Series E Preferred Stock-Final Prospectus Supplement. The equity preferred stocks are rated BB+ by S & P, a larger than normal spread to the senior unsecured debt of BBB+. Credit Ratings – Citizens Bank; Citizens Bank Credit Ratings-Fitch 

CFG has several $1K par value senior unsecured bonds that can be traded, but I have no interest in them due to their currently low yields. (e.g. FINRA Bond Detail CFG 2.85% SU Maturing in 2026 trading near a YTM of 1.42%). The breakeven inflation rate for the 5 year TIP closed yesterday at 2.49%. If the Bond Ghouls are proven correct in predicting a 2.49% average annual inflation over the next 5 years, the 2026 CFG bond with its 1.42% would produce an annual average real rate of return, before taxes, of -1.07%. 

P. Issuer Redemption GOODM-7% Cumulative Equity Preferred: 


Profit Snapshot: +$115 (20 shares)



With a few exceptions, equity preferred stocks generally have no maturity, but do allow the issuer to redeem at par five years after an IPO. I would not expect a preferred stock with a 7% coupon to remain around long after that 5 year period expires, given the abnormally low interest rates now prevailing, unless the issuer is experiencing credit risk issues that prevents financing at a lower rate. Gladstone reserved the right to redeem at par on or after May 25, 2021. Prospectus So someone forgot to send out the required redemption notice for a few days.  

Item # 1.C. Bought 10 GOODM at $20; 5 at $19 (4/4/20 Post) 

I still own the common shares. Gladstone Commercial Corp. (GOOD); GOOD SEC Filings 

I last discussed the common stock here: Item # 3. F. (6/14/21 Post)(average cost Fidelity taxable at $13.19; yield at 11.05%; 58 shares). I have been selling my highest cost shares and have eliminated all shares purchased with dividends.  

2. Cash Flow into Fidelity Taxable 6/30-7/2 (1 of 5 taxable accounts that I own):



The cash flow snapshots highlight my diverse holdings and my current inch deep, mile wide approach to risk management. In the following snapshots, I reinvested the dividend only in the utility holding company PPL and KMB. I did not realize that the reinvestment option for KMB was turned on and have now turned it off. Several of the securities are owned in multiple accounts. 

The only corporate bonds included in the snapshots are two 3.1% First Mortgage bonds issued by Entergy Mississippi that matures on 7/1/23 and 1 Hercules 6.5%, one of the leftovers from my junk bond basket strategy implemented mostly in 2011 and now in runoff.  

FINRA Page 2029 Hercules 6.5% Junior Bond; Item # 2 Bought 1 Hercules 6.5% Junior Bond at 86 (6/24/11 Post)(current yield at total cost = 7.488%) 

FINRA Page 2023 Entergy Mississippi 3.1% First Mortgage (currently trading near a .45% YTM). I discussed that bond here: Item # 3.A. Bought 3 Entergy Mississippi 3.15% First Mortgage Bonds Maturing on 7/1/23 at a TC of 99.111 (2/13/19 Post) That purchase brought me up to 6 bonds held in two of my accounts. I later sold 1 at 102+. Item # 3.A. (7/20/19 Post) 

I received $250 in tax exempt interest from 3 separate $5K Tennessee municipal bond positions. (annual average tax free current yield of 3.33+%)

The snapshots highlight some reliance on CEFs to generate income (AIO, AOD, BXMX, ERC, EXG, FAX, GDO, GLQ, IGR, JDD, JQC, JRI, KIO, SWZ, MIN, THQ). Of those CEFs, all pay monthly dividends except for BXMX, JDD, and SWZ who pay quarterly.

There is also some reliance on BDCs to generate cash flow. The following stocks shown in the snapshots are BDCs: ARCC, FSK, NMFC, OFS, PFLT, PNNT, SLRC, SUNS, TCPC and TPVG. 

I am extremely proactive in managing the inherent risks in BDC stocks. 

I have  been using the small ball trading strategy in managing CEF risks which I would summarize simply as selling the rips (particularly shares bought with dividends) and buying the dips. All recent transactions have been to sell. 

3. Tennessee Municipal Bond Interest Paid 7/1 into Schwab Taxable: 

All of these positions are 5 bond lots. 



Total = $538.76

I also received $5K in an issuer early redemption, along with a $75 tax free interest payment included in the previous snapshots.

This bond was bought at slightly less than par value (11/2019), with the $10 commission taking the cost basis up to 100.157.  

I am unaware of any municipal bonds that have make-whole provisions. The call protection is generally 10 years from the original issuance date, with the issuer having the option to redeem at par value thereafter.  

For the bonds included in the interest payment snapshots that are still owned, the unrealzied gain using Schwab's third party pricing is at $1,626.74: 


I have not tried to sell any of my municipal bonds. 

The Tennessee Housing bonds are rated AA+ and Aa1: 

The Metropolitan Airport 3.875% revenue bond is the lowest rated municipal bond that I own. It is rated at A and A1. For the most part, my 10 or 15 bond municipal bond lots are in AAA rated issues (e.g. Williamson County GO or Rutherford County Water Revenue)



I will go down to a AA or AA2 when buying a 10 municipal bond lot. 

This one is rated AA+:  


This 10 bond lot is rated AA+ by S & P  and one notch lower at Aa2 by Moody's. 


Moody's equivalent to S & P's rating at AA+ would be Aa1. Corporate Credit Rating Scales by Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch | Wolf Street

Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor but simply an individual investor who has been managing my own money since I was a teenager. In this post, I am acting solely as a financial journalist focusing on my own investments. The information contained in this post is not intended to be a complete description or summary of all available data relevant to making an investment decision. Instead, I am merely expressing some of the reasons underlying the purchase or sale of securities. Nothing in this post is intended to constitute investment or legal advice or a recommendation to buy or to sell. All investors need to perform their own due diligence before making any financial decision which requires at a minimum reading original source material available at the SEC and elsewhere. A failure to perform due diligence only increases what I call "error creep". Stocks, Bonds & Politics: ERROR CREEP and the INVESTING PROCESS Each investor needs to assess a potential investment taking into account their personal risk tolerances, goals, and situational risks. I can only make that kind of assessment for myself and my family members.