Friday, May 23, 2025

CAG, COLD, ELC, ENBPRP, GMRE, HIW, KMI, MEGI, MFC, NSAPRA, NSAPRB, STEW, VOD

Dollar Value of Trades Discussed in this Post

Inflows

Inflow Corporate Bonds and Treasury Bills: $24,000 in principal amount

Inflow Small Ball Common Stock Purchases: $597.19

Inflow Exchange Trade Bonds (ELC): $102.59

Outflows

Outflows Small Ball Common Stock Sells: -$1,366.84

Realized Gains: +$396.98 (HIW, KMI, MEGI, MFC, STEW, VOD) 

Outflow Canadian Reset Equity Preferred Stock: -C$1,905 (By selling my highest cost lot profitably, I reduced the AC per share to C$16.08 from C$16.88 for the remaining 500 shares and increased the dividend yield to 9.22%)

Outflow U.S. Equity Preferred Stocks: -$248.55 (Net: Sold 20 NSAPRA and Bought 10 NSAPRB. 


+++


Trump will apply at least a 25% tariff tax on Apple iPhones not made in the U.S. 


Trump also posted on "Truth" Social that a 50% tariff tax on European exports will start on 6/1/25. Trump recommends 50% tariff on European Union starting June 1


Trump seeks 50% tariff on EU, says he's not looking for a deal

Trump tariffs: Chase CEO Jamie Dimon says markets are too complacent

Scott Bessent says tariff rates will return to ‘reciprocal’ levels if countries don’t reach trade deals with US 

Trump tells Walmart to ‘eat the tariffs’ as retailer expects prices to increase What is Trump going to do when WalMart increases prices to recoup some of the republican tariff taxes that WalMart has to pay. Will he tell his cult members to boycott WMT, as he has done in the past for other companies who cross him in some way. What Trump is doing is not materially different to what a dictator would do in a non-capitalist, government controlled economy.  

PolitiFact | President Donald Trump said cargo slowdown at U.S. ports is a “good thing.” Economists say it’s not

April home sales dropped to the slowest pace for that month since 2009

Investors are rattled by rising U.S. bond yield. They should be more worried about Japan. - MarketWatch (subscription publication)

House Reconciliation Bill: Budget, Economic, and Distributional Effects (May 19, 2025) — Penn Wharton Budget ModelThe Largest Upward Transfer of Wealth in American History - The Atlantic (subscription publication); Wealthy gain, low-income people lose from GOP megabill, analysis finds - POLITICO

House GOP budget ‘worse than feared’ for clean energy: analysts | Utility Dive

Here's what's in the GOP megabill that's just passed the House-NPR

Here come the price hikes: Nike is increasing prices by up to 7%. - MarketWatch (subscription publication)

Steve Madden says Trump tariffs are ‘destroying’ the economy that brands like his created - MarketWatch (subscription publication)

++

Is Trump sane? Is it even possible to hear what he has to say or read what he publishes on "Truth" Social and conclude that he is? 

5/19/25

Trump coin dinner to include mostly non-Americans based on top holders

The Donald Trump 2.0 Grift Is Already On | WIRED

Trumpstore.com | The Official Retail Website Everyone who voted for Trump knew or is presumed to know that he would use the Presidency to enrich himself and his family while he was President. 

Intelligence Memo Undercuts Trump's Immigration Argument- FactCheck.org The way to get around that memo in Trump's America is to fire its authors, which has already been done,  and then simply deny that the intelligence assessment is accurate as Rubio did. Rubio says intelligence community is incorrect in assessment of Tren de Aragua: "They're wrong" - CBS News;   Counterterrorism nominee Joe Kent under scrutiny as emails show he pushed for edits to intelligence assessment - CBS News Trump wants the intelligence assessment to find that the Tren de Aragua gang is under the direction or control of the Venezuelan government, a finding necessary to justify their deportation under the Alien Enemies Act of 1798.  The reality is that it just a criminal gang that sees America as a land of opportunity. FEMA acting administrator Cameron Hamilton fired after breaking with Trump administration on eliminating agency - CBS News 

The acting FEMA Director was fired by Trump one day after testifying before Congress that it was not in the U.S. interest to eliminate FEMA. Hamilton was fired at the direction of Kristi Noem the Department of Homeland Security Senior Advisor Corey Lewandowski carrying out the order.

Child Psychologists Explain Trump's Immature Attack On Taylor Swift Trump volunteered to reporters that Taylor was "no longer hot". Trump slams Supreme Court, Taylor Swift, Bruce Springsteen

Trump administration working on plan to move 1 million Palestinians to Libya

Nonprofit leaders say they are bracing for potential targeting by the Trump administration after a controversial tax measure advances in Congress If the nonprofits pursue an agenda that is not approved by our Dear Leader, they will be punished at a minimum and destroyed if possible.  

HHS Secretary RFK Jr. tussled with Sen. Chris Murphy about measles vaccine safety. Who was right? RFK falsely claimed that the the measles vaccine wanes quickly, was never fully tested and contains fetal debris. Even during a measles outbreak, the U.S. Health Secretary is trying to convince parents to avoid giving their children the measles vaccine.  

RFK Jr. told Congress no working scientists were fired, but these top NIH brain scientists are still facing job cuts - CBS News

Trump Shares Post Suggesting Military Tribunal for Obama

Grok's 'white genocide' responses shows AI can be tampered with 'at will' The white genocide in South Africa responses made by Musk's AI in response to just about any question reflects Musk's opinions rather than the evidence. Trump has bought into that false narrative as expected.   Are white South Africans facing a genocide as Donald Trump claims? White South Africans arrive in US under Trump refugee plan White genocide conspiracy theory - Wikipedia (noting the claims originates from neo-Nazis) The real world result is that Trump will allow white refugees while rejecting those with brown or black skin including those fleeing from Afghanistan. 

Leo Terrell Floats 'Criminal Charges' for Jill Biden The Trump acolyte referenced in this article is Leo Terrell who Trump has appointed to run the DOJ's Civil Rights Division. 

During Trump's recent call with Putin, Trump took Putin's side against Ukraine as expected. Trump's deference to Putin stunned European leaders on callPeace in Ukraine looks further away after Trump’s call with PutinZelensky Issues Defiant Three-Word Response to Trump-Putin Call - Newsweek

Supreme Court will allow Trump administration to end TPS program for Venezuelans - CBS News

Supreme Court grants Trump request to fire certain independent agency members  The 6 Republican Justices will continue to allow Trump to expand executive power by overruling an 80 year old precedent, a result that is highly probable by lifting the stay. There is nothing conservative about investing the President with Kingly power, a result totally inconsistent with the reasons for the American Revolution and the Founders' concern about concentrating power in the President. The Essential Importance of Limiting Presidential Power: Lessons from the Founding Fathers | by Jacob Grow | Medium The Founders were particularly concerned about a demagogue becoming President. Why demagogues were the Founding Fathers’ greatest fear - Los Angeles TimesThe Other Fear of the Founders - The AtlanticPoliticians the Founders Warned You About  

Trump suggests without evidence that Biden’s prostate cancer diagnosis was hidden from the public | AP News If Biden knew that he had prostate cancer, he would have sought and received treatment before the cancer spread to his bones. The high beam radiation treatment now is painless and only requires 5 visits.  

Harvard University barred from enrolling international students by Trump administration Our Dear Leader will also require all currently enrolled foreign students to transfer to another college or be deported. Republicans are just hostile toward Ivy League schools and to people who have knowledge and are capable of independent thought rather than just parroting the party line. Trump's ongoing efforts to destroy Harvard, besides being an abuse of executive power and another example of his authoritarianism, can only be explained by his desire to subjugate and silence any and all opposition through repression and fear. 

Ramaphosa keeps cool during Trump's choreographed onslaughtTrump-Ramaphosa meeting: The South African road incorrectly identified as a 'burial site' by US presidentTrump showed old videos, took crosses out of context in South Africa genocide claims - ABC News (Trump: These are the -- these are burial sites right here. Each one of those white things you see is a cross. And there's approximately a thousand of them. They're all white farmers, the family of white farmers. ...Those people are all killed". The crosses do not mark burial sites, but were put up by protestors in 2020 to commemorate the alleged murder of two farmers days earlier. 

Trump's image of dead 'white farmers' came from Reuters footage in Congo, not South Africa | Reuters Trump confronted the South African President in the Oval Office with these pictures. 

Fact-checking Donald Trump's Oval Office confrontation with Cyril Ramaphosa

Trump is and will be a permanent and ugly stain on the U.S.  

+++

1. Sold 100 of 600 ENBPRP:CA at C$20.06 - Interactive Brokers Account (C$1 commission)

Quote: ENB-PP.TO

I sold my highest cost lot that reduced my average cost per share and increased my dividend yield to 9.2%. 

That highest cost lot was bought last September. Item # 6.A. Bought 100 ENBPRP:CA at C$19.85 (10/3/24 Post) I sold this lot shortly after the last quarterly ex dividend date. 

Issuer: Enbridge Inc. (ENB)

I own the common stock. 

Last ENB DiscussionItem # 1.S. Pared ENB - Sold 5 at $45.45 (4/4/25 Post)(profit snapshot = $66.91) 

Last ENB BuyItem # 1.F. Added to ENB in Vanguard Taxable Account-Bought 5 at $29.51; 5 at $28.95; 5 at $27.4 (10/31/20 Post)

Profit Snapshot: +C$19

Position in Capital Structure: Equity Preferred stock, senior only to common stock.  

Credit Ratings


Credit Ratings-Enbridge Inc. Fitch and S&P have BBB- ratings while Moody's is at Ba1, one notch into junk territory. 

Par Value: C$25

Coupon: Resets every 5 years at 2.50% spread to the 5 year Canadian Government Bond yield. 

Current Coupon: 5.918% to but excluding 3/1/2029


Excerpt from Press Release (1/31/24) The rate calculation date is the 30th day prior to the first day of the subsequent five year reset period.

Optional Redemption: Every 5 years on the reset date, so this preferred stock is call protected until the next reset date in 2029. 

New Average cost per share: C$16.05  (500 shares)  

Price as of 5/16/25 Close - Unrealized Gain at C$1,980

The AC was reduced from C$16.88

Dividend: Paid quarterly and cumulative

Current Annual Dividend on 500 shares: C$739.75 before withholding tax

Canada Withholding Tax = 15%

Foreign Tax: Credit or Deduction? | Charles Schwab I claim a tax credit and fill out the IRS Form 1116.

Yield at New AC 9.22%

Computation: .05918% x. C$25 par value = C$1.4795 annual dividend per share ÷ $16.05 average cost per share =9.2181%)

Last Ex Dividend: 5/15/25

Last Buy DiscussionsItem # 2.A. Added to ENBPRP:CA - Bought 100 at C$16.2 (11/15/22 Post)Item # 3.A. Added to ENB.PRP:CA Bought 50 at C$11.98 and 50 at C$11.76 (6/13/20 Post)Item # 3.A. Added to ENB.PRP:CA-Bought 50 at C$16.47 (2/16/20 Post)Item # 2.A. Bought 50 ENB.PRP:CA at C$15.68 (11/27/19 Post)

Sell Discussions Item # 1.A. Sold 100 out of 400 ENBPRP:CA at C$20.20 (12/31/21 Post)(profit snapshot = C$368); Item # 4.A. Sold 200 ENBPRP at C$19.91 (3/25/17 Post)(profit snapshot = C$963, contains a snapshot of a prior realized gain of US$1,458.25 converted from C$ 1,814.)  

My video: Canadian Reset Equity Preferred Stocks - YouTube

ENBPRP Realized Gains to Date: +C$3,164

The tax reportable USD gain would be lower. 

IB does pay interest on my Canadian Dollars. I received US$643.55 last year in interest on the CADs owned in that account. For tax reporting purposes, the CAD interest payments were converted into USDs when made. A reportable tax transaction occurs when I sell CADs to buy USDs or CADs are sold to settle a trade made on the Toronto exchange.  

I will consider exchanging some CADs for USDs when and if the CAD/USD goes back over .8.  

2. Small Ball Buys: 

The recent increases in intermediate and longer term interest rates make the dividend yields of bond like stocks less attractive. In addition, earnings can be pressured by higher refinancing costs.  

A. Added 5 CAG at $22.5; 5 at $22.22


Quote: Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG) 

Cost: $223.6

CAG Analyst Estimates | MarketWatch

CAG SEC Filings

10-Q for the Q/E 2/23/25

CAG SEC Filed Annual Report for the Fiscal Year Ending 5/26/24

Brands | Conagra Brands

New Average Cost per share: $26.36 (99+ shares)

Dividend: Quarterly at $.35 per share ($1.4 annually) 

CAG Dividend History & Date | Seeking Alpha

I am reinvesting the dividend. 

Yield at New AC: 5.31%

Last Ex Dividend: 4/28/25

Last Earnings Report (Q/E 2/23/35): I discussed this report in a recent post: Item # 1.B. Added to CAG - Bought 5 at $23.73; 5 at $22.95 (5/9/25 Post)SEC Filed Earnings Press Release  

I am not likely to buy more shares other than through dividend reinvestment, which I will continue for as long as each purchase lowers my average cost per share.  

The stock is a falling knife that is in a bear market trend of unknowable duration. 

I suspect that a bottom has occurred near $22 based on valuation and dividend yield at that price. It remains to be seen whether that opinion will be confirmed or disproven by subsequent events. 

Last Sell DiscussionItem # 2.H. Sold 5 CAG at $33.07 (9/12/24 Post)

B. Initiated COLD - Bought 10  at $17.8; 5 at $17.55:

Quote: Americold Realty Trust Inc. (COLD) -  Cold Storage REIT 

Cost: $265.75

COLD SEC Filings 

10-Q for the Q/E 3/31/25 Page 14 summarizes the significant amount of debt. The uptrend in interest rates will decrease cash available for distribution.  

This REIT is a "global leader in temperature-controlled storage, logistics, real estate and value-added services". As of 3/31/25, the company "operated 238 warehouses globally, totally approximately 1.4 billion cubic feet, with 194 warehouses in North America, 25 in Europe, 17 warehouses in Asia-Pacific, and 2 warehouses in South America". Page 9, 10-Q  

Average cost per share: $17.72 (15 shares)

Dividend: Quarterly at $.23 per share ($.92 annually), last raised from $.22 effective for the 2025 first quarter payment. The quarterly dividend was at $.2 in 2020. This dividend is currently comfortably supported by cash available for distribution. 

COLD Stock Dividend History & Date | Seeking Alpha

The best way to increase the dividend yield is not through dividend increases, which are slow and relatively insignificant at best, but by lowering the average cost per share through purchases at lower prices. 

Yield at $17.72 = 5.19%

Last Ex Dividend: 3/28/25

Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/25): 

SEC Filed Press Release and Supplemental 

Revenue: $629M, down 5.4% and -4.4% on a constant currency basis. 

Adjusted FFO = $95.7M

Adjusted FFO per share: $.34, down 9%

2025 Outlook: Adjusted FFO per share of $1.42-$1.52 

Reconciliation GAAP Net Income to AFFO: 

Note the maintenance expenses are deducted from Core FFO in the AFFO calculation. 

The decline in revenues and AFFO may be reflected in the decline in the share price.  The stock closed at $33.53 on 8/27/23. 

Maximum Position: 100 Shares

Purchase Restriction: 10 or fewer share lots with each lot bought at the lowest price in the chain.  

C. Added to GMRE - Bought 2 at $6.73; 5 at $6.5; 5 at $6.3; 5 at $6.08:

Quote: Global Medical REIT Inc. (GMRE) - Internally Managed Healthcare REIT

Cost: $107.84


Global Medical REIT Inc._2024 SEC Filed Annual Report Lists of properties starts at page 86


Portfolio Summary: 





Average cost per share$7.45 (130+ shares) 


Dividend: Quarterly at $.21 per share 

Yield at $7.4511.275%

For an equity REIT, this kind of dividend yield signals an investor consensus that a dividend slash will happen. 

Last Ex Dividend: 3/21/25

Tax Treatment of Dividends in 2024:  ROC Support at 52.32%


Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/25): 


Revenues: $34.618M

FFO per share: $.20

AFFO per share: $.22 with quarterly dividend at $.21 per share

Reconciliation: 


Bankruptcy of Tenant: Prospect Medical Group (3 properties)


Recent Acquisitions and Dispositions:


Sell DiscussionsItem # 3.E. Eliminated Duplicate Position in GMRE in Fidelity Account-Sold 15 at $9.32 (8/19/23 Post)(profit snapshot = $31.42); Item # 2.G. Eliminated GMRE in Vanguard Taxable Account - Sold 20 Shares at $11.07 (1/20/23 Post)(profit snapshot = $33.97); Item # 2.E. Pared GMRE in Schwab Account - Sold 15 GMRE at $10.46+ (1/30/23 Post)(profit snapshot = $3.39); Item # 1.B. Eliminated GMRE - Sold 40 at $11.25 (6/6/20 Post)(profit snapshot = $87.86); Item # 4.A. Eliminated GMRE-Sold 98+ at $9.41 (11/28/18 Post)(profit snapshot = $159.1); Item # 1.B. Sold 10 GMRE at $11.22 (4/18/20 Post)(profit snapshot = $12.07); Item # 3.C. Sold 50 GMRE at $10.01 (5/23/2017 Post)(profit snapshot = $82.54); South Gent's Comment Blog # 7: Eliminated GMRE (12/17/2016)(discussing realized gains from several trades)

GMRE Realized Gains to Date$507.2 

Goal: Any profit in excess of the dividend payments. 

Equity Preferred Stock: I also own 30 GMRE-PA shares. The tax cost basis is at $22.19. I own 15 share lots in both my Fidelity and Schwab Accounts. 

Prospectus

Coupon: 7.5% paid on a $25 par value

None of the dividends paid by this preferred stock last year were supported by ROC: 

GMRE Purchase Restriction: 5 share lots going forward with each subsequent purchase required to lower my average cost per share. 

3. Small Ball Sells

I have restricted myself from selling any stock or stock fund unless the price is higher than the closing price on 2/19/25 when the S&P hit its all time high. 

The other precondition for a stock or stock fund sale is VIX movement below 20. That condition is no longer present. 

When and if the VIX spikes into the high 20s or higher, I am supposed to increase the dollar amount of stock purchases.  

One reason for those preconditions is to prevent me from reducing my stock allocation allocation that is already extremely low

E.G. Fidelity Account (1 of 4) Allocation as of 5/22/25: 


Fidelity's bond category includes treasury bills, CDs, treasury notes, Tennessee municipal bonds and investment grade corporate bonds.  

A. Pared KMI - Sold 10 at $28.01 - Vanguard Account

Quote:  Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) - Energy Infrastructure

Proceeds: $280.05

Closing Price 2/19/25: $26.89

Asset Map | Kinder Morgan

KMI SEC Filings

10-Q for the Q/E 3/31/25 

Last DiscussedItem # 2.A. Sold 10 KMI at $29.77 (1/22/25 Post) 

Profit Snapshot: $140 (5/18/25 sale only)

Total KMI Realized Gain in 2025: $441.36 (30 shares)

Average Cost per share: $14.01 (60 shares)

Snapshot after Pare- Price as of 5/16/25 Close

Since I am selling shares from a 100 share lot, the average cost remains the same. Item # 1. Bought 100 KMI in Vanguard Taxable Account at $15.89 (1/7/22 Post)

There has been some ROC adjustments to the tax cost basis which accounts for my current tax cost basis of $14.01 per share. 

Dividend: Quarterly at $.2925 per share ($1.17 annually), last raised from $.2875 effective for the 2025 second quarter payment. 

KMI Stock Dividend History & Date | Seeking Alpha

Yield at AC: 8.35%

Last Ex Dividend: 4/30/25

Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/25): SEC Filed Press Release 

GAAP E.P.S. = $.32

Adjusted E.P.S. = $.34

Revenues: $4.241B

Net Income to Free Cash Flow: 

Negative FCF after dividends. 

2025 Guidance: Adjusted E.P.S. of $1.27 up 10% from 2024. 

Owned KMI SU Bonds

3 KMI 4.3% Maturing on 6/1/25 

2 KMI 4.3% SU Maturing on 3/1/28, Bond Page | FINRA.org

2 KMI 5% SU Maturing on 2/1/29, Bond Page | FINRA.org

2 KMI 5.2% SU Maturing on  6/1/33, Bond Page | FINRA.org

Last Bond Offering (4/25): Prospectus 

B. Pared MFC - Sold 5 at $32.02 - Schwab Account

Quote: Manulife Financial Corp.  (MFC)

Proceeds: $160.13 

Closing Price 2/19/25: $29.78

CAD Priced Shares: Manulife Financial Corp (Canada: Toronto)

Canadian Dollar to US Dollar Exchange Rate Chart | Xe

I mentioned this sale in a comment published on 5/16/25.

The shares traded on the NYSE in USDs will generally reflect the price on the Toronto exchange with the CAD price converted at the then current CAD/USD exchange rate. 

MFC 2024 SEC Filed Annual Report

Profit Snapshot: $103.1

Last DiscussedItem # 1.A. Pared MRC - Sold 5 at $31.59 (4/5/25 Post) I discussed the 2024 4th quarter report in that post. 

Average cost per share: US$11.41 (70 shares)

The AC per share remained unchanged since I sold shares that were part of a purchase made at $11.41. Item # 2.D. Bought 100 MFC at $11.41 (5/9/2020 Post)

Dividend: Quarterly at C$.44 per share

Manulife increases common shareholders’ dividend by 10.0% (2/19/25)

The dividend is paid in Canadian dollars and will be converted to USDs based on the then current CAD/USD exchange rate. It is consequently not possible to predict the dividend yield due to changes in the exchange rates. 

Dividends in USDsManulife Financial Corporation (MFC) Stock Dividend History & Date 

Last 4 Dividends in USDs: US$1.205. This includes the US$.3194 dividend that went ex on 5/21/25.

Yield at US11.41 AC per share using US$1.205 annual: 8.36%

The yield is before the 15% withholding tax collected by Canada. 

Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/25): SEC Filed Earnings Press Release

All amounts are in Canadian Dollars.

Core E.P.S. = $.99, up from $.91

Lowest price paid 2020 to DateItem # 2.C. Bought in Fidelity Account 10 MFC at $10.15; 2 at $9.3; 2 at $8.9  (5/9/20 Post) Those lots have been sold.

Other Sell DiscussionsItem # 2.A. Sold 5 MFC at $32.79 (11/27/24 Post)(profit snapshot = $106.95); Item # 2.A. Pared MFC - Sold 5 at $32.79 (11/27/24 Post)(profit snapshot = $106.95); Item # 4.B. Pared MFC Again - Sold 5 at $32.38 (11/14/24 Post)(profit snapshot = $104.39); Item # 3.B. Pared MFC Again - Sold  5 at $30.36 (10/16/24 Post)(profit snapshot = $94.9); Item # 2.B. Pared MFC - Sold 5 at $29.29 (10/10/24 Post)(profit snapshot = $91.44, discussed second quarter earnings report, SEC Filed Earnings Press Release for the Q/E 6/30/24); Item # 1.G. Eliminated Duplicate Position in MFC - Sold 14 at $20.1 - Fidelity Account (3/6/23 Post)(profit snapshot = $143.61); Item # 1.A. Sold 32 MFC at $20.63 (2/2/20 Post)(profit snapshot = $104.79); Item # 2.A. Sold 20 MFC at $18.78 (11/2/19 Post)(profit snapshot = $7.69); South Gent's Comment Blog # 7: Sold 100 MFC at $18.28 (profit = $481.06; IB Account).  

Realized MFC Gain In USDs$1,439.64

Owned Reset Equity PreferredMFC-PM.TO, reset on 11/20/24 for five years at a  2.36% spread to the five year Canadian bond yield resulting in a new coupon of 5.542%, Manulife Financial Corporation announces Dividend Rates on Non-cumulative Rate Reset Class 1 Shares Series 17 and Non-cumulative Floating Rate Class 1 Shares Series 18Item # 2.A. Bought 100 MFCPRM:CA at C$15.14 (7/25/20 Post). At a C$15.14 total cost, the new yield is about 9.15%

Owned SU Bond: 2 SU 4.15% Maturing on 3/4/26, Bond Page | FINRA.org 

D. Sold 5 HIW at $30.2 - Schwab Account

Quote: Highwoods Properties Inc. - Office REIT

Proceeds: $151

Closing Price on 2/19/25: $28.99 

I sold my highest cost 5 shares.

I believe that HIW is the only office REIT that has not cut its dividend.  

The core portfolio "consists primarily of office properties in Atlanta, Charlotte, Dallas, Nashville, Orlando, Raleigh, Richmond and Tampa." 



Website: Highwoods

Last DiscussedItem # 1.G. Sold 5 HIW at $28.66 (3/18/25 Post) I discussed the 2024 4th quarter report in that post. HIW Announces Fourth Quarter 2024 Results.pdf


Profit Snapshot: $29.77 

New Average cost per share = $19.92 (28+ shares)

Snapshot after pare/Price As of 5/19/25 Close

Dividend: Quarterly at $.5 per share


Yield at $19.92: 10.04%

Last Ex Dividend: 5/19/25 (I sold on the ex dividend day)

Last Earnings Report (Q/E 3/31/25): 10-Q and HIW Announces First Quarter 2025 Results.pdf

Revenues: $200.383M

GAAP E.P.S. = $.91

FFO per share: $.83, down from $.89

Occupancy: 88.1% (leased in service) and 85.5% occupied. 

2025 Outlook: 



E. Sold 15 MEGI at $14.17



Proceeds: $212.55

Closing Price 2/19/25: $12.56

I sold these shares out of my highest cost lot. 

MEGI Portfolio | Morningstar (lists top 25 holdings)


Leveraged: Yes at 25.36% as of 3/31/25 


NYLI CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Term Fund - SEC Filed Semiannual Report for the F/Y ending 11/30/24 

Last Discussed:  Item # 1.I. Pared MEGI - Sold 45 at Various Prices (4/4/25 Post)(profit snapshot $25.91) 

Profit Snapshot: +$30.1 (5/20/25 sale only)


New Average cost per share: $11.96 (50 shares)

Dividend: Monthly at $.125 per share ($1.5 annually)


Yield at New AC per share: 12.54%

Last Ex Dividend: 5/23/25

Data Date of 5/20/25 Trade

Closing Net Asset Value per share: $15.43 

Closing Market Price: $14.19

Discount: -8.04%

Average 3 Year Discount: -13.09%

The asset value per share on 2/19/25 was $12.89 with the discount at -9.58%. 

Sourced: MEGI - CEF Connect (Click "Pricing Information" Tab)

F. Sold 20 STEW at $17.66 - Vanguard Account



Proceeds: $353.21

Closing Price 2/19/25: $16.99

I sold my highest cost lots. 

Profit Snapshot: +$68.88




Fund Sponsor's website: STEW - SRH Funds

This fund is heavily weighted in Berkshire Hathaway. Shares were first bought in 2/2013.  

Top 10 Holdings as of 4/30/25:

Berkshire Hathaway A & B at 42.02%


SEC Filed 2024 Annual Report As of 12/31/24, the total cost of investments was $777.69+M with a value then at $2.118+B. 

The fund is controlled by Stewart Horejsi, his related persons and entities. Stewart Horejsi & familySTEW Insider Holders & Insider Ownership (e.g. Susan Ciciora is a daughter who married John Ciciora, and the other Ciciora's mentioned are most likely their children) In response to John Train's book The Money Masters, originally published in 1980, Horejsi started to buy Berkshire stock in 1980. Early Warren Buffett Shareholder Is Worth $3 Billion, Joins Forbes 400 I have read that book. At the time of his initial investment, Horejsi was running his family's welding supply business. 

New Average Cost per share: $10.05 (100+ Shares)

Remaining Position after pare/Price as of Close 5/20/25 

Regular Dividend: Quarterly at $.165 per share ($.66 annually)


I am not reinvesting the dividend. The last reinvestment was in the 2021 first quarter. 

The fund could pay a great deal more out in dividends by realizing capital gains but chooses to hold onto its positions with minimal trading. Whatever the fund decides to pay out in a regular dividend will be the total annual amount. 

Yield at New AC = 6.57%  

Next Ex Dividend: 7/24/25 

Data Date of 5/20/25 Trade

Net Asset Value per share: $21.81

Closing Market Value: $17.73

Discount: -18.71%

Average 3 year discount: -19.88%

Sourced: STEW - CEF Connect 

The discount has historically been large. The cause is subject to debate. The reasons may include the huge unrealized gain and the heavy concentration in Berkshire Hathaway. A new shareholder was not an owner when the fund generated the unrealized gain. Some investors prefer to avoid funds with substantial unrealized gains for one or more reasons, including a fund managers unwillingness to harvest them (fear of losing all or a major part of the gain) or the after tax returns for a new buyer when and if the fund does harvest capital gains to a substantial decree taking into account the gains largely originate from holdings acquired before the purchase. 

STEW-BIF Realized Gains+$702.11

All of the realized gains have been less than $200 each. Trading has been active. 

Largest 3

 


BIF was the stock symbol when the fund had a different name. 


Some Other Sell DiscussionsItem # 1.E. Sold 10 BIF at $11.08 (1/9/21 Post)(profit= $10)(includes prior profit snapshots that total $560.27 including the $10 profit discussed in that post); Item # 3.E. Eliminated BIF-Sold 156+ at $11.42 (12/18/19 Post)(profit snapshot = $127.2); Item # 3.C. Sold 50 BIF at $11.28 (11/13/19 Post)(profit snapshot = $1.63); Item # 3.B. Eliminated BIF: Sold 116+ (2/16/17 Post)(profit snapshot = $137.25)

G. Eliminated Duplicate Position in VOD - Sold 20 at $10.49 - Schwab Account



Proceeds: $209.9

1 ADR = 10 ordinary shares

Closing Price 2/19/25: $8.27


Profit Snapshot: $25.13


Dividend: Paid Semiannually


There was a dividend slash for the last payment. 

Vodafone has been busy selling assets, which resulted in the dividend slash, and using the proceeds to reduce debt. Net debt declined by 32.6% from selling Vodafone Spain, Vodafone Italy, a 10% stake in Oak Holdings, and an 18% stake in Indus Towers. 

Last Ex Dividend: 11/22/24 for $.2348 (the semiannual payment in the 2023 second half was at $.4888)

Next Ex Dividend: 6/6/25 for $.23549 down from $.4887. 

Buyback Announcement: The share received a lift from an announcement that a buyback of up to €500m would commence on 5/20/25 and end on 7/23/25.  SEC Filing 

Last Earnings ReportSEC Annual F/Y Ending 3/31/25 

Loss due to a non-cash impairment charge of €4.5B for Germany an Romania.


Adjusted EPS of €.075 compared to €.0747 in the prior fiscal year. 

Adjusted E.P.S. for ADR = €.75

Guides to adjusted EBITAal to €11B - €11.3B in F/Y 2026 with F/Y 2025 at €11B.

Analyst Reports (available to Schwab customers): 

S&P 85/20/25): 4 stars with a 12 month PT of $11

Morningstar (5/20/25): 3 stars with a fair value estimate of $11. 


4. Corporate Bonds

A. Bought 2 Public Service of Oklahoma 5.2% SU Maturing on 1/15/35 at a Total Cost of 97.161 - Fidelity Account

Issuer: Wholly owned operating subsidiary of the utility holding company American Electric Power Co. Inc. (AEP) 

AEP SEC Filings 

AEP 10-Q for the Q/E 3/31/25 Public Service of Oklahoma results can be found at pages 79-86.

Annual Financial Data 2022-2024:  


AEP 2024 Annual Report at page 159 

Finra Page: Bond Page | FINRA.org

Credit Ratings: Baa1/BBB+

YTM at Total Cost: 5.582%

Current Yield at TC: 5.352%

B. Bought 2 General Mills 4.95% SU Maturing on 3/29/33 at a Total Cost of 98.526 - Fidelity Account

Issuer: General Mills Inc. (GIS)

I have a position in the common stock. 

Last GIS Discussion: Item # 2.B. Added to GIS - Bought 5 at  $53.8 (5/16/25 Post) 

GIS SEC Filings

GIS Analyst Estimates | MarketWatch

SEC Filed Earnings Press Release for the Q/E 2/23/25

Finra Page: Bond Page | FINRA.org

Credit Ratings: Baa2/BBB

YTM at Total Cost: 5.18%

Current Yield at TC: 5.024%

C. Bought 1 Public Service Electric & Gas 5.375% First Mortgage Bond Maturing on 11/1/2039 at a Total Cost of 99.12 and 1 at a 98.255 Total Cost - Fidelity Account



Issuer: Wholly owned operating subsidiary of the utility holding company Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. (PEG) 

PEG SEC Filings 

PEG SEC Filed Earnings Press Release for the Q/E 3/31/25 

10-Q for the Q/E 3/31/25

10-Q at page 7 

Finra Page:  Bond Page | FINRA.org

Credit Ratings: A1/A

YTM at 99.12 Total Cost:  5.464%

Current Yield at 99.12 TC: 5.423%

YTM at 98.225 TC: 5.555%

Current Yield at 98.225 TC: 5.472%

This is my first purchase of a corporate bond maturing in 2039. 

With this purchase, I replaced the 2 FM bonds that matured on 5/15/25:


The $38.45 "profit" will be taxed as interest income, categorized by the IRS as realized market discount.  

D. Bought 1 Entergy Louisiana 5.35% First Mortgage Bond on 3/15/34 at a Total Cost of 99.941 - Fidelity Account

Issuer: Wholly owned operating subsidiary of the utility holding company  Entergy Corp. (ETR) 

This is my first purchase of this bond. I currently own 4 Entergy Louisiana 5.15% first mortgage bonds maturing on 9/15/34. Bond Page | FINRA.org

ETR 10-Q for the Q/E 3/31/25 

In Thousands, 10-Q at page 90

Finra Page: Bond Page | FINRA.org

Bond Prospectus 

Credit Ratings: A2/A

YTM at Total Cost: 5.357%

Current Yield at TC: 5.353%

E. Bought 1 Idaho Power 5.2% First Mortgage Bond Maturing on 8/15/34 at a Total Cost of  99.289 - Vanguard Account

Issuer: Wholly owned operating subsidiary of the utility holding company IDACORP Inc.  (IDA) 

I have eliminated a small ball position in the IDA common stock. 

This is my first purchase of a first mortgage bonds issued by Idaho Power. 

IDA SEC Filings 

IDA SEC Filed Press Release for the Q/E 3/31/25 

Finra Page: Bond Page | FINRA.org

Bond Prospectus 

Credit Ratings: A2/A-

YTM at Total Cost: 5.297

Current Yield at TC: 5.237%

Last Bond Issuance (3/24): Prospectus for $400M 5.7% First Mortgage bonds maturing in 2055.

F. Bought 2 LYB International Finance 5.5% SU Maturing on 3/1/34 at a Total Cost of 97.253 - Vanguard Account

Issuer: Wholly owned subsidiary of LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Cl A (LYB) who guarantees the notes:

Prospectus  

LYB  Analyst Estimates | MarketWatch

SEC Filed Earnings Press Release for the Q/E 3/31/25 

Finra Page: Bond Page | FINRA.org

Credit Ratings: Baa2/BBB

YTM at Total Cost: 5.904%

Current Yield at TC: 5.655%

Last Bond Offering LYB International Finance III (5/25): Prospectus for $500M 6.150% SU Maturing in 2035. 

G. Bought 2 Public Service of Colorado 5.35% First Mortgage Bond Maturing on 5/15/34 at a Total Cost of 99.453

Issuer: Wholly owned operating subsidiary of the utility holding company Xcel Energy Inc.  (XEL) 

This IPO for this bond was last March. The offering price was at 99.735. 

Bond Prospectus 

XEL SEC Filings 

XEL 10-Q for the Q/E 3/31/25 

Public Service of Colorado Operating results Q/E 3/31/25: 

Amounts in Millions

Credit Ratings: A1/A

YTM at Total Cost: 5.428%

Current Yield at TC: 5.379%

I now own 4 bonds with 2 of those owned in a Roth IRA account and bought at a lower price. 

H. Bought 2 Evergy Kansas Central 5.25% First Mortgage Bonds Maturing on 3/15/35 at a Total Cost of 99.149 - Interactive Brokers Account

Issuer: Wholly owned subsidiary of the utility holding company Evergy Inc.  (EVRG) 

Evergy was created from a merger of Westar Energy of Topeka, Kansas and Great Plains of Kansas City, the parent company of Kansas City Power & Light.  

I have eliminated my EVRG common stock position. 

EVRG Analyst Estimates | MarketWatch

EVRG 10-Q for the Q/E 3/31/25 

In Millions/P. 15, 10-Q

Finra Page: Bond Page | FINRA.org

Bond  Prospectus (3/25):  

Credit Ratings: A2/A

YTM at Total Cost: 5.361%

Current Yield at TC: 5.295%

5. Treasury Bills

A. Bought 10 Treasury Bills at the 5/19/25 Auction -Schwab Account

6 Month T Bill 

Matures on 11/20/25

Interest: $209.3

Investment Rate: 4.287%

6. Exchange Traded First Mortgage Bond

A. Bought 5 ELC at $20.52 - Schwab Account

Cost: $102.59

Interest Rate Risk: HIGH and asymmetric in favor of the issuer

The interest rate risk resulting from an early call due to a significant decline in interest rates is mitigated by the realized gain at a $25 par value call. I want this bond to be called but the 30 year bonds will need to decline significantly in yield for that to happen. 

Last DiscussedItem # Item # 2.O. Added to ELC in Schwab Account - Bought 5 at $20.6 and Item 2.P. Added 5 ELC in Fidelity Account at $20.3 (4/4/25 Post)Item # 2.G. Bought 5 ELC at $20.75 in Schwab Account (3/18/25 Post) 

Entergy Louisiana is an operating subsidiary of the utility holding company Entergy Corp. (ETR). 

Prospectus

Par Value: $25

Coupon: 4.875% paid on a $25 par value

Interest Payments: Quarterly

Trades Flat: (no accrued interest is payable to the seller, whoever owns on the ex interest date receives the entire interest payment)

First Mortgage Bond, with lien attaching to substantially all assets. 

Credit Ratings: A2/A 

Optional Redemption: Anytime now at par value + accrued and unpaid interest.  

New Average cost per share this account: $21.03 (65 shares)

Yield at $21.03: 5.795%

Computation: .04875% coupon x. $25 par value = $1.21875 in annual interest per share ÷ $21.03 average cost per share = 5.7953% 

Next Ex Interest: 5/30/25

Investment Category: Exchange Traded Baby Bonds {I do not include in this post several categories of exchange traded bonds including trust preferred, synthetic floaters, SU notes tied to the performance of an index, and trust certificates, see Trust CertificatesSynthetic FloatersTrust Preferred Securities, Item # 1 Principal Protected Notes, Item # 2  Principal Protected Notes. While those securities are exchange traded bonds, they have qualities that separate them from the baby bond category that are simply bonds traded like stocks with no quirkiness)

Other Recent Buy DiscussionsItem # 2.B. Bought 5 ELC at $21.25 - Fidelity Account (2/10/25 Post)Item #7.A. Added 5 ELC in Vanguard Taxable Account at $21.15 (1/15/25 Post)Item # 7.A. Added to ELC in Fidelity Account - Bought 5 at $21.29 and Item #1.C. Added to ELC in Schwab Account - Bought 5 at $21.15 (1/1/25 Post)

I am working my way up slowly to 100 shares in each of 3 taxable accounts. I currently own 100 shares only in my Fidelity account. 

I own 30 in my Vanguard taxable account and 65 in my Fidelity account. I am consequently allowed to buy up to 105 more ELC shares.  

The YTM at $21.03 with a redemption at maturity (9/1/66) is about 5.91%. 

It is possible to buy a $1,000 par value FM bond from this issuer that has a higher coupon and YTM and a somewhat shorter maturity date. I recently bought an Entergy Louisiana Item # 2.I. Bought 1 Entergy Louisiana  5% FM Bond Maturing on 7/15/44 at a Total Cost of 86.683 (5/9/25 Post)(At total cost, the YTM was then at 6.1875% with the current yield  at my total cost at 5.768%.) 

If I was lucky and there was an ELC early call on 9/1/2030, the YTM would then be about 8.84% and at around 11.18% with a call on 9/1/28. An early call of the $1,000 par value bonds that have higher coupons and maturities in 2040 and 2050s, which have make whole protections, would not be called after a substantial decline in long term interest rates.  

The exchange traded bond may be easier to sell and pays interest quarterly compared to semiannual payments for the $1,000 par value FM bonds.  

7. REIT Equity Preferred Stocks

I view preferred stocks as a disfavored asset class. They combine the less desirable features of both bonds and stocks. 

These securities are equity capital but do not represent an equity ownership interest. 

While the bond like quality is the dominant one, the preferred stock lacks the protections of senior unsecured debt. 

The result is that the price will decline when interest rates rise and/or credit risk fears intensify far more than senior unsecured debt. 

A. Eliminated NSA.PRA in Schwab Account - Sold 10 at $23.385 and Bought 10 NSA.PRB at $22.13

Same issuer, both have $25 par values and 6% coupons. 

I call this trade a substitution of one functionally equivalent preferred stock for another from the same issuer that has a higher current yield. 

Issuer:  National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA)

NSA SEC Filings

Investment Category: Advantages and Disadvantages of Equity REIT Cumulative Equity Preferred Stocks, part of the Equity REIT Common and Preferred Stock Basket Strategy 

Proceeds NSAPRA: $233.85

Profit NSAPRA: +$9.03

Cost NSAPRB: $221.3

NSAPRA Quote: NSA-PA

Last DiscussedItem # 5.A. Added 5 NSAPRA at $21.95 (8/8/24 Post) 

Prospectus 

REIT Equity Preferred Stock 

Par Value: $25

Coupon: 6%

Optional Call: At par value + accrued and unpaid dividend on or after 10/11/22. 

Maturity: None, potentially perpetual 

Stopper Clause: Standard  (company must eliminate the cash common share dividend before deferring payment of the preferred dividend)  


The Stopper Clause enforces the preferred shareholders preferential claim to cash compared only to the owner of common shares.  

Dividends: Paid quarterly and cumulative. 

Next Ex Dividend: 6/13/25

Company Page: Series A Preferred Shares-National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA)

NSAPRB Quote: NSA-PB 

Prospectus 

The only material difference IMO is that NSAPRB has call protection until 9/15/2043, while NSA.PRA can be called at par value now. As with other preferred stocks, a call may occur earlier in the event it is necessary to maintain the REIT tax status. I am not aware of any REIT stock being called using that limited exception.

Yield at $22.13: 6.78

Next Ex Dividend: 6/13/25 (same as NSAPRA) 

B. Pared NSAPRA in Fidelity Account: Sold 10 of 40 at $23.6

See Item # 7.A. above. 

I sold my highest cost lot. 

Proceeds: $236

Profit Snapshot: $4.8

New Average cost per share this account: $22 (30 shares)

Yield at New AC = 6.82%

Calculation: 0.06% coupon x. $25 par value = $1.5 annual dividend per share ÷ $22 average cost per share = 6.8182%

Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, but simply an individual investor who has been managing my own money since I was a teenager. In this post, I am acting solely as a financial journalist focusing on my own investments. The information contained in this post is not intended to be a complete description or summary of all available data relevant to making an investment decision. Instead, I am merely expressing some of the reasons underlying the purchase or sale of securities. Nothing in this post is intended to constitute investment or legal advice or a recommendation to buy or to sell. All investors need to perform their own due diligence before making any financial decision which requires at a minimum reading original source material available at the SEC and elsewhere. A failure to perform due diligence only increases what I call "error creep". Stocks, Bonds & Politics: ERROR CREEP and the INVESTING PROCESS Each investor needs to assess a potential investment taking into account their personal risk tolerances, goals, and situational risks. I can only make that kind of assessment for myself and my family members.   

14 comments:

  1. Today's very mild reaction to Trump's most recent tariff threats against Apple and the EU is probably due to a consensus opinion that he will not carry through with those threats.

    I take Trump's threats more seriously since he now believes there is no effective restraint on his actions and he will do whatever he wants to do. His natural tendency is to aggressively retaliate to opposition and to punish whoever does not obey him.

    ReplyDelete
  2. "‘Buckle up, this ride’s far from over’: Trump’s EU tariffs delay is no guarantee trade tensions won’t escalate, market watchers say"

    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/26/trump-delays-eu-tariffs-but-more-volatility-could-be-on-the-way.html

    In a "Truth" Social post last week, Trump stated that he would impose a 50% tariff on EU country exports starting on 6/1/25. The current temporary tariff on EU country exports is 10% that had been reduced from the 20% retaliatory tariff imposed in early April. There was a 90 day pause in implementing the retaliatory tariff that would expire in early July. The 6/1 start date was an early termination of the 90 day pause.

    After receiving a call from the EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Trump delayed an increase in the tariff until the original end date of the 90 day pause.

    As I mentioned in the prior comment, the reaction in the market last Friday was based on a consensus opinion that Trump would not impose the 50% tariff on EU country exports or the 25% tariff on Apple IPhones and other phone exports including those made by Samsung.

    ReplyDelete
  3. May the market rally and keep their illogical opinion.... Long enough for me to get out.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Cboe Volatility Index (VIX)
    19.20 -3.09 -13.86%
    Last Updated: May 27, 2025 at 12:38 p.m. CDT
    https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/vix?mod=home_markets

    The VIX is the volatility index for the S&P 500.

    The renewed optimism can be traced in part to a better than expected consumer confidence report released earlier today. That improvement is purportedly due to Trump reducing the 145% "retaliatory" tariff on China's exports to 30% for 3 months as signaling to many consumers that the trade war is working. I see no rational, fact based justification for that opinion. Trump is and will continue to be impulsive, crazy and and a constant generator of chaos.

    Another reasons for the rally may be Trump backing down after a phone call from the 50% tariff threat made against EU country exports last week, starting on 6/1/25, up from the 20% retaliatory tariff made in early April that was reduced to 10% shortly thereafter for 90 days, with that pause period ending in early July. Trump has now paused the 50% levy until the first pause would have ended without the threat made last week.

    I am not likely to do any selling today even though the VIX is currently trading below 20 and I have several stocks trading higher than their respective closes on 2/19/25. The current enthusiasm may take prices higher.

    I noticed that a recent Lottery Ticket purchase received a buyout offer which was rejected:

    Hologic Inc. (HOLX):
    $62.54 $8.26 +15.21%
    Last Updated: May 27, 2025 at 1:51 p.m. EDT
    https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/holx

    https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/hologic-rejects-16-billion-take-private-proposal-tpg-blackstone-financial-times-2025-05-27/

    ReplyDelete
  5. I published a YT video discussing a major development after the market closed today. A 3 judge panel blocked the enforcement of most tariffs imposed by Trump, holding in a summary judgement that Trump exceeded his authority in imposing tariffs.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QVuEvX5IC7A

    ReplyDelete
  6. Replies
    1. Land: There is still considerable uncertainty on what happens next. Trump is appealing the the summary judgment that he lacked authority for the tariffs issued under the  International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977. I agree with that decision and the basis for it is appealing to the 6 Republican Supreme Court Justices. The next action in that case will be for the government to file an motion to stay the decision.

      Trump could impose a 15% tariff to address a balance of payment deficit under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, but that can stay in effect only for 150 days. Given the limited time period, he will not be able to use that law to coerce any country to sign a trade deal. The foreign country would just wait until the time expired.

      There are other options still available to Trump:

      https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/29/trump-expected-to-find-a-workaround-after-trade-court-blocks-tariffs.html

      Delete
  7. I am going to stick to my plan to pare some stock positions when the two preconditions are met: (1) a stock price higher than the close on 2/19/25 and (2) VIX movement below 20.

    Trump's Tariff War is not over but is currently in state of flux.

    I view the reasoning of the 3 judge panel as having appeal to the 6 Republican Justices, but Trump has other options to cause chaos.

    The 3 judge panel or the appellate grant may grant a motion to stay that judgment pending the appeals. I do not see the panel granting a stay beyond the 10 days mentioned in the judgment.

    If the appellate court refuses to do so, that could reflect their agreement with the 3 judge panel on the merits or an opinion that the balance of harm weighs in favor of those paying the tariffs during the appeal process. The considerations for a stay include the government showing a strong likelihood of success on the merits, potential irreparable harm to the government if the stay is not granted, minimal harm to those paying the tariffs if the stay is granted, and a public interest that favors granting the stay.

    Trump has other options under different trade laws.

    ReplyDelete
  8. The U.S. Court of Appeals issued a temporary administrative stay of the judgment entered by the 3 judge panel. The tariffs remain in force until this stay is lifted. The purpose of the administrative stay is to allow the plaintiff's an opportunity to file a brief in response to the government's motion to stay, which has to be filed on or before 6/5/25. The government can file a reply brief on or before 6/9/25. Since I would expect the reply brief, a decision is unlikely on or before 6/9.

    The Appellate panel may or may not hold a oral argument before granting or denying the government's motion to stay the judgment and injunction prohibiting the enforcement of Trump's "retaliatory" and fentanyl related tariffs issued under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act pending resolution of the appeal process.

    ReplyDelete
  9. I had been expecting a rally today, but if petered out very early. There's a lot of uncertainty that this panel's ruling will mean anything.

    Possibly there's been an assumption all along that these were trading negotiation methods, and not a big deal. (I'm not agreeing with that.)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Land: I am certain that Trump is crazy but lack certainty on when his tariff war will end.

      Even if the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit refuses to stay the judgment and injunction issued by the 3 judge panel, with a decision likely as early as mid-June, Trump has other options including product specific tariffs under a different statute that go beyond steel and aluminum that have already been imposed, up to 15% tariffs for 150 days under another statute, and other statutory options. So the chaos is likely to continue with uncertainty remaining inevitable.

      Trump was angry when a reporter told him about the TACO trade ("Trump always chickens out") Knowing that he is being called chicken may make it more likely Trump will not back down in the future given his personality and his core belief that he is a strongman like Putin, Kim and other authoritarians that he admires and respects.

      Delete
  10. I sold 18 Texas instruments today at $185.70/shr after hours. Profit of about $360. I bought in December 2018 during the down period. So it's not much gain, but it was around 4% dividends the whole time.

    Is it a lot of going into the red during this downturn, and I don't get the feeling it's going to hold up well if there's a crash.

    Though I have a long enough horizon, that I could hold through a downturn.

    ReplyDelete
  11. I have published a new post:

    https://tennesseeindependent.blogspot.com/2025/05/aple-cold-cpb-doc-nomd-pplprcca-stag-umh.html

    ReplyDelete